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Match Centre: Millwall vs Derby County

Today

Championship Matchday 13

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Home Millwall
16:00 Sat 31 Oct · your time in 21 h 9 min
Away Derby County

Six of the Round · Championship Golden minute

Pre-match chances
44% Millwall 26% draw Derby County 30%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Where to watch: Paramount+ Stadium: The Den, London Referee: Anthony Backhouse

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

Derby County without a win in 8 matches

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 3 draws and 5 defeats. Last win: 1 September, 2:0 against Portsmouth.

What's at stake

Derby County: a match about staying up

60%after a loss 45%after a win

Relegation risk: 60% after a defeat, 45% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 10 March: Millwall – Derby County 1:0

Millwall are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings.

Referee

Anthony Backhouse: 4.2 yellow cards per match

This season in this competition: 5 matches, no red card, 2 penalties.

Players to watch

Championship, this season.

Lyndon Dykes

Millwall · forward

4goals 1assist 6.99avg rating

Last match, Portsmouth: rating 6.4.

Bobby Clark

Derby County · midfielder

3goals 2assists 7.01avg rating

Last match, Sheffield United: 1 goal, rating 7.4.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

Millwall

  • Josh CoburnInjured · return date unknown
  • Ryan LeonardInjured · return date unknown

Derby County

  • Charlie TaylorInjured · return date unknown
  • Craig ForsythInjured · return date unknown
  • Derry MurkinInjured · return date unknown
  • Eiran CashinInjured · return date unknown
  • Lewis TravisInjured · return date unknown
  • Matt ClarkeInjured · return date unknown
  • Patrick AgyemangInjured · return date unknown
  • Sondre LangåsInjured · return date unknown

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Millwall at home and Derby County away, as in this match.

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 7.4 · 4.6; cards 2.8 · 3.0

Head to head

28 meetings since 2006. The last 5 below.

Last time · 10 Mar 2026 · Championship Millwall 1:0 Derby County Coburn 43'
3wins

2 draws1.8 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

0wins
Show older (5)
  • 6 Nov 2021Championship Millwall1:1Derby County Malone 45+1' · Ebosele 44' before our records
  • 13 Mar 2021Championship Derby County0:1Millwall Hutchinson 45' before our records
  • 5 Dec 2020Championship Millwall0:1Derby County Knight 69' before our records
  • 20 Jun 2020Championship Millwall2:3Derby County Smith 15' · Böðvarsson 90+3' · Sibley 26', 71', 90' before our records
  • 14 Dec 2019Championship Derby County0:1Millwall Bradshaw 25' before our records

Expected lineups

The data provider's expected XI.

Official around 15:00, Sat 31 Oct

MillwallDerby County

When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.

Out

Millwall: Josh Coburn, Ryan LeonardDerby County: Charlie Taylor, Craig Forsyth, Derry Murkin, Eiran Cashin, Lewis Travis, Matt Clarke, Patrick Agyemang, Sondre Langås

Coaches

Alex NeilMillwall John EustaceDerby County

Full squads (45 players)

Millwall

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Derby County

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Player intelligence

Player comparison

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

44%Millwall
26%draw
30%Derby County

Out of 20 matches like this, Millwall win 9, 5 end level and Derby County win 6.

Millwall have the higher chance, mostly thanks to playing at home. By Volt (strength from league results) Millwall rate higher: 53.5 and 42.5.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:113%
  2. 1:011%
  3. 2:19%
  4. 0:18%
  5. 2:07%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals75% Millwall 7 of 10 · Derby County 8 of 10
  • 3+ goals50% Millwall 7 of 10 · Derby County 4 of 10
  • 4+ goals28% Millwall 5 of 10 · Derby County 1 of 10
  • 5+ goals15% Millwall 0 of 10 · Derby County 1 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 55%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Derby County today 55%
after a defeat
60%
after a draw
54%
after a win
45%

Derby County: 15 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

53.5 42.5
MillwallDerby County
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 31 October, 16:00Your time · in 21 h 9 min
Where to watch
Paramount+ USA · change country
Stadium
The Den London · show map
Referee
Anthony Backhouse 🇪🇳 4.2 yellow cards per match · This season · 5 matches
Rest
Millwall 7 days · Derby County 7 days Both last played: Championship
Table
13. Millwall (15 pts) and 23. Derby County (7 pts) Matchday 13 of 46
Weather
13°Cbroken cloudswind 9 km/h
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · The Den
⌘K

Arrows move · Enter opens · Esc closes

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