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Match Centre: Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda

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Europa Conference League Matchday 1 Thu 15 Oct

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Home Lugano

Ajeti 25′Moncada 84′Grgic 89′ (p)

Full-time 3:2
Away Crvena Zvezda

Elsnik 32′Krunic 67′

Player of the match Timi Max Elsnik 7.6

GolVolt ratingWatch it all 9.6/10 more watchable than 96% of Conference League matches Winner at 89′, 38 shots. How we rate

GolVolt rating 9.6GolVolt rating

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Spoiler-free mode: the score and how the match went are hidden.

The match in 30 seconds

Turning point: 25' Ajeti, 1:0
  1. 3 of 5

    Lugano turned that many shots on target into goals with only 41% of the ball.

  2. 1:2 → 3:2

    Lugano came from behind to win.

  3. 89'

    The winner came late: Anto Grgic (Lugano).

The turning point is the biggest jump in the match: after the goal for 1:0, from 47% to 73% (Lugano).

How the match went

One minute axis for every view. The discs along the bottom are the goals.

90+4' · 3:2Lugano 95%draw 5%Crvena Zvezda 0%

Key stats

41% Possession 59%
2.22 xG (expected goals) 1.22
18 Shots 20
5 On target 5
4 Big chances 2
5 Corners 3
All stats (23)

Preview and report

Live · goal

Automatically translated from Polish · AI-generated from GolVolt data

  1. 3–2

    Grgic from the spot, Lugano 3–2 Crvena Zvezda

    Anto Grgic puts Lugano ahead from the penalty spot in the 89th minute. It is his second league goal this season. Ajeti, Elsnik, Krunic and Moncada scored earlier.

    Number of the match: 89th minute — In this minute Grgic put Lugano 3–2 ahead from the penalty spot.

  2. Minute 86 2–2

    Moncada scores, Lugano 2–2 Crvena Zvezda

    Dereck Moncada levelled it in the 84th minute. Yanis Cimignani provided the assist. Lugano are back in the game after Krunic's goal in the 67th minute. It is Moncada's 2nd league goal of the season.

    Number of the match: 3 of 13 — That is how many goals Lugano have scored this season after the 75th minute, so late strikes are a real part of their tally.

  3. Minute 34 1–1

    Elsnik equalises, Lugano 1–1 Crvena Zvezda

    Timi Max Elsnik scores in the 32nd minute after an assist from Matej Gashtarov. Crvena Zvezda respond to Albian Ajeti's goal from the 25th minute. It's level again.

    Number of the match: 32nd — That was the minute in which Elsnik equalised and ended Lugano's short-lived lead.

  4. Minute 27 1–0

    Ajeti scores, Lugano 1–0 Crvena Zvezda

    Albian Ajeti opens the scoring in the 25th minute. Renato Steffen provided the assist. It is the first goal of the match and puts Lugano straight into the lead in the Europa Conference League.

    Number of the match: 25th minute — That was when Ajeti gave Lugano the lead, the first goal of the match.

Live · half-time · 1–1

Lugano 1–1 at half-time: the run goes on, but the visitors have the ball

Lugano are 10 matches unbeaten and have scored in every one of them. At the break they hold a 1–1 draw with Crvena Zvezda, even though the visitors had more of the ball and more shots.

Automatically translated from Polish · AI-generated from GolVolt data

Number of the match 10 That is how many matches in a row Lugano have gone without defeat – and scored in – before heading into this break.

The run against the picture of the game. Lugano are 10 matches unbeaten. In the first half it was the visitors who were more often on the ball: 65% possession and 11 shots to the hosts' 6. On target it was 3 to 2. The hosts did win more corners, 3 to 2. The contrast is clear.

Two goals in seven minutes. In the 25th minute Albian Ajeti scored after an assist from Renato Steffen. In the 32nd minute Timi Max Elsnik replied, set up by Matej Gashtarov. This season Lugano have scored 3 of their 13 goals in the first 15 minutes and 3 after the 75th minute. This time the goal came in the middle of the half.

Before the match

Lugano, unbeaten in 10 matches, host Crvena Zvezda in the Europa Conference League

Lugano, the Super League leaders, host Crvena Zvezda in Matchday 1 of the Europa Conference League. The hosts have not lost in 10 matches in a row, while the visitors return after 49 days without a game since their previous Europa League match.

Automatically translated from Polish · AI-generated from GolVolt data and the sources listed below the article

Number of the match 10 That is how many matches in a row without a defeat, and with a goal scored, Lugano have behind them as they go into the game as Super League leaders.

Super League leaders on home turf

Lugano go into Matchday 1 of the Europa Conference League as Super League leaders. In their last league match they thrashed Luzern 4–0 at home. The hosts' run now stands at 10 matches in a row without a defeat, and Lugano scored in every one of them. That is the foundation on which the Swiss side enter the European league phase. Crvena Zvezda come to Switzerland from a different perspective: after a domestic match and a long break from European competition.

Both teams' form

In their last league match Lugano beat Luzern 4–0, which confirmed their position at the top of the Super League. Crvena Zvezda beat Radnički Niš in a Superliga match, winning convincingly after earlier problems. Both sides therefore have wins from the start of October behind them. What separates them is rhythm: the hosts are 5 days on from their previous Super League match, the visitors 49 days on from their last Europa League game. That difference in rest and in the competitions both clubs last played in is one of the clearest in the build-up to this match.

Behrens and goals from the start

Lugano's top league scorer is Kevin Behrens: 6 goals and 1 assist in 6 matches. The striker is the main source of goals for a team that has scored in every match for 10 games. The hosts' scoring profile this season shows that 3 of their 13 goals came in the first 15 minutes. Lugano scored the same number, 3 of 13, after the 75th minute. In 7 of their last 10 matches both sides scored, so the hosts often conceded too.

How similar matches ended

In 5481 matches across all leagues where the gap in strength between the teams was similar to this one, the home side won 52%. A draw came in 25% of the games, and the away side won in 23%. At least 3 goals were scored in 53% of those matches. This is data on the past of such fixtures, not a forecast of how this match will go.

Squads: no captain and three more absences

Crvena Zvezda are weakened. Captain Mirko Ivanić will not play against Lugano and has not travelled to Switzerland. Besides him, the squad is without Shavy Babicka, who is suspended, and the injured Veljko Milosavljevic and Adem Avdić. Lugano cannot count on Carbone and Claudio Cassano, both out injured. So the hosts have two absences, the visitors four.

Why this rating

Four pillars, each measured against the same league over the last 12 months.

How we rate

Winner at 89′, 38 shots.

  • Dramaweight 50% Winner at 89′, 2 changes of lead, comeback from 1:2.The result hung in the balance and big moments changed the game. Drama: 10.0 out of 10
  • Heroesweight 20% Grgic scored the winner.Someone played a match to remember. Heroes: 7.2 out of 10
  • Stakesweight 15% It mattered for the table but settled nothing. Stakes: 5.3 out of 10
  • Quality of playweight 15% 38 shots, 5 goals.Plenty of chances and shots at both ends. Quality of play: 8.2 out of 10

Match ECG

A spike = a twist. The shading = how open the result still was.

Worth watching: Watch it all

GolVolt rating 9.6more watchable than 96% of Conference League matches

The GolVolt rating comes from four pillars — drama, heroes, stakes and quality of play — measured against this league's matches of the last 12 months (model nap-v2).

Similar matches

A similar story: twists, the finish, chances. Same league, last 12 months.

How the match went

5 goals7 cards

Counts cover only events captured in the retained timeline.

Timeline

  1. 25' Goal: Albian Ajetileft foot · assist: Steffen1:0
  2. 32' Goal: Timi Max Elsnikleft foot · assist: Gashtarov1:1
  3. 33' Vasilije Kostovyellow card · dissent
  4. Half-time · 1:1
  5. 53' Renato Steffenyellow card · foul
  6. 55' Lukas Maiyellow card · foul
  7. 63' 2 substitutionsBehrens for AjetiPihlström for Steffen
  8. 64' SubstitutionCham for Händel
  9. 67' Goal: Rade Krunicright foot · assist: Cham1:2
  10. 73' SubstitutionMoncada for Karimov
  11. 75' 2 substitutionsBalov for LucicStrika for Ristic
  12. 79' 2 substitutionsAlioski for DelcroixCastro for Dos Santos
  13. 81' 2 substitutionsArnautovic for DiengBajo for Krunic
  14. 82' Stefan Gudeljyellow card · foul
  15. 84' Goal: Dereck Moncadaright foot · assist: Cimignani2:2
  16. 88' Mahmudu Bajoyellow card · foul
  17. 89' Albert Rierayellow card · dissent
  18. 89' Goal: Anto Grgicpenalty3:2
  19. 90+4' Matej Gashtarovyellow card · foul
  20. Full-time · 3:2

Match stats

Shooting

2.22 xG (expected goals) 1.22
18 Shots 20
5 On target 5
4 Big chances 2
7 Off target 11
6 Blocked 4
8 Inside the box 7
10 Outside the box 13
1 Big chances missed 2

Play

41% Possession 59%
5 Corners 3
384 Passes 545
86% Pass accuracy 90%
9 Key passes 18
77 Attacks 97
36 Dangerous attacks 37

Defence

18 Tackles 16
5 Interceptions 6
3 Saves 2

Discipline

9 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Lineups and ratings

The highlighted rating is the player of the match.

Starting XIs · provider ratings

3-4-2-1 –5-4-1
Bench

Lugano

Crvena Zvezda

Match sheet

Coaches
Mattia Croci-Torti Lugano Riera Crvena Zvezda
Stadium
Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano

Player ratings

Ratings from the data provider, scale 1–10.

  1. Player of the match · Crvena Zvezda Timi Max Elsnik 7.63
  2. 2. place · Lugano Anto Grgic 7.58
  3. 3. place · Lugano Dereck Moncada 7.49
Show all (32)Show fewer

Player intelligence

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Pro analysis

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Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The grey bars are figures available in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Absences

Lugano · 2 out

  • Carbone Injured

    since 7 Oct · return date unknown · 1 match missed · Muscle Injury

  • Claudio Cassano Injured

    since 26 Jan · return date unknown · 41 matches missed · Cruciate Ligament Injury

Crvena Zvezda · 3 out

  • Shavy Babicka Suspended

    since 1 Jul

  • Veljko Milosavljevic Injured

    since 27 May · until 16 Oct · 13 matches missed · Hamstring Injury

  • Adem Avdić Injured

    since 4 Jun · until 10 Jan 2027 · 22 matches missed · Cruciate Ligament Tear

Injuries and suspensions as reported for this match.

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