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Match Centre: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Today

Eredivisie Matchday 11

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Home Ajax
21:00 Sat 31 Oct · your time in 1 day 4 h
Away AZ Alkmaar

In the Six of the Week

Pre-match chances
55% Ajax 21% draw AZ Alkmaar 24%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: ESPN+ Stadium: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam Referee: Allard Lindhout

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Ajax: a match for Europe

46%after a loss 66%after a win

Chances of Europe: 46% after a defeat, 66% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Ajax have scored in 20 matches in a row

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 57 goals in those matches.

Last time

Last meeting, 8 February: AZ – Ajax 1:1

AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in the last 10 meetings.

Referee

Allard Lindhout: 2.0 yellow cards per match

This season in this competition: 7 matches, no red card, 1 penalty.

What's at stake

AZ Alkmaar: a match for Europe

17%after a loss 34%after a win

Chances of Europe: 17% after a defeat, 34% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Julian Brandt: 4 goals and 2 assists in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG0.98

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 1.0).

Players to watch

Eredivisie, this season.

Julian Brandt

Ajax · midfielder

6goals 2assists 7.53avg rating

Last match, Sparta Rotterdam: 2 assists, rating 7.8.

Mexx Meerdink

AZ Alkmaar · forward

4goals 2assists 7.00avg rating

Last match, FC Twente: rating 6.2.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

Ajax

  • Kasper DolbergInjured · until 1 Jul
  • Anton GaaeiInjured · return date unknown
  • Caio HenriqueInjured · return date unknown
  • Daley BlindInjured · return date unknown
  • Oliver EdvardsenInjured · return date unknown
  • Simon AdingraInjured · return date unknown
  • Steven BerghuisInjured · return date unknown

AZ Alkmaar

  • Stije ResinkInjured · until 1 Jan
  • Jizz HornkampInjured · return date unknown
  • Kees SmitInjured · return date unknown
  • Wouter GoesInjured · return date unknown

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Ajax at home and AZ Alkmaar away, as in this match.

Ajax

at home · 10

6W3D1L2.6scored per match1.5conceded per match

AZ Alkmaar

away · 10

4W3D3L1.6scored per match1.2conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.8 · 5.2; cards 1.8 · 2.4

Head to head

44 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 8 Feb 2026 · Eredivisie AZ 1:1 Ajax Goes 52' · Fitz-Jim 90+3'
0wins

2 draws2.6 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

3wins
Show older (5)
  • 8 Oct 2023Eredivisie Ajax1:2AZ Alkmaar Boomen 73' · Pavlidis 45' · de Wit 57' before our records
  • 6 May 2023Eredivisie Ajax0:0AZ Alkmaar before our records
  • 18 Sep 2022Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar2:1Ajax de Wit 40' · Odgaard 45+6' · Kudus 12' before our records
  • 8 May 2022Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar2:2Ajax Pavlidis 62' · Evjen 75' · Brobbey 42' · Álvarez 86' before our records
  • 12 Dec 2021Eredivisie Ajax1:2AZ Alkmaar Haller 73' · Pavlidis 50' · Aboukhlal 83' before our records

Expected lineups

The data provider's expected XI.

Official around 20:00, Sat 31 Oct

AjaxAZ Alkmaar

When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.

Out

Ajax: Kasper Dolberg, Anton Gaaei, Caio Henrique, Daley Blind, Oliver Edvardsen, Simon Adingra, Steven BerghuisAZ Alkmaar: Stije Resink, Jizz Hornkamp, Kees Smit, Wouter Goes

Coaches

MíchelAjax Leeroy EchteldAZ Alkmaar

Full squads (50 players)

Ajax

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

AZ Alkmaar

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Player intelligence

Player comparison

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

55%Ajax
21%draw
24%AZ Alkmaar

Out of 20 matches like this, Ajax win 11, 4 end level and AZ Alkmaar win 5.

The forecast leans to Ajax. By Volt (strength from league results) Ajax rate higher: 67.2 and 59.6.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 2:110%
  2. 1:19%
  3. 1:08%
  4. 2:07%
  5. 3:16%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals84% Ajax 10 of 10 · AZ Alkmaar 8 of 10
  • 3+ goals65% Ajax 8 of 10 · AZ Alkmaar 5 of 10
  • 4+ goals43% Ajax 6 of 10 · AZ Alkmaar 4 of 10
  • 5+ goals28% Ajax 3 of 10 · AZ Alkmaar 2 of 10

Ajax: at least two goals in each of the last 10 matches.

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 63%.

What this match changes in the season Derby

European-place chance after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Ajax today 57%
after a defeat
46%
after a draw
55%
after a win
66%
AZ Alkmaar today 23%
after a defeat
17%
after a draw
23%
after a win
34%

Ajax: 20 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

67.2 59.6
AjaxAZ Alkmaar
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 31 October, 21:00Your time · in 1 day 4 h
Where to watch
ESPN+ USA · change country
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena Amsterdam · show map
Referee
Allard Lindhout 🇳🇱 2.0 yellow cards per match · This season · 7 matches
Rest
Ajax 6 days · AZ Alkmaar 6 days Both last played: Eredivisie
Table
2. Ajax (21 pts) and 5. AZ Alkmaar (20 pts) Matchday 11 of 34
Weather
10°Covercastwind 11 km/h
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Johan Cruijff Arena
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