Lecce: a match about staying up
Relegation risk: 35% after a defeat, 20% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).
Thu 29 Oct · Serie Aaway
Frosinone5:1Lecce
Cichella 25'Calò 45+1' (p)Raimondo 59'Bîrligea 72', 90+4'
Monteiro 82'
Sat 10 Oct · Serie Aat home
Genoa2:1Fiorentina
Osmajic 7'Messias 15'
Vásquez 73' (og)
Pre-match result forecast (provider data).
Where to watch: Paramount++3
Stadium: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
Referee: Matteo Marchetti
Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.
Relegation risk: 35% after a defeat, 20% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).
Last 5 matches in all competitions. Genoa concede 1.0.
Before that, Lecce went 4 meetings in a row without a win.
Lecce: place 14, 9 pts · Genoa: place 13, 10 pts.
Serie A, this season.
Injuries and suspensions
The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.
Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.
“This set-up” is Lecce at home and Genoa away, as in this match.
Lecce
3W0D7L1.0scored per match2.1conceded per match
3W1D6L0.8scored per match1.8conceded per match
4W1D5L1.1scored per match1.6conceded per match
Thu 29 Oct · Serie Aaway
Frosinone5:1Lecce
Cichella 25'Calò 45+1' (p)Raimondo 59'Bîrligea 72', 90+4'
Monteiro 82'
Sun 13 Sep · Serie Aat home
Lecce3:2Monza
Coulibaly 3', 21'Gabriel 10'
Mangas 20'Zeballos 89'
Sun 17 May · Serie Aaway
Sassuolo2:3Lecce
Laurienté 20'Pinamonti 82'
Cheddira 14', 25'Stulic 90+6'
Sun 8 Mar · Serie Aat home
Lecce2:1Cremonese
Pierotti 22'Stulic 38' (p)
Bonazzoli 47'
Genoa
4W1D5L0.9scored per match1.3conceded per match
5W1D4L1.3scored per match1.3conceded per match
2W2D6L0.5scored per match1.1conceded per match
Sat 10 Oct · Serie Aat home
Genoa2:1Fiorentina
Osmajic 7'Messias 15'
Vásquez 73' (og)
Sun 16 Aug · Coppa Italiaat home
Genoa4:1Ascoli
Marcandalli 42'Baldanzi 45'Colombo 61'Havel 80'
Silipo 25'
Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 5.0 · 3.8; cards 1.8 · 2.4
18 meetings since 2006. The last 5 below.
2 draws1.4 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5
2 draws1.5 goals per match · both scored in 1 of 4
1 draw2.6 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5
For now, the last starting XI: Lecce (3-4-2-1, last: Frosinone) · Genoa (3-4-2-1, last: Juventus).
LecceGenoa
When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.
Eusebio Di FrancescoLecce Daniele De RossiGenoa
Lecce
Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards
Genoa
Goalkeepers
Defenders
Midfielders
Forwards
Squad
The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.
Out of 20 matches like this, Lecce win 8, 5 end level and Genoa win 7.
Lecce have the higher chance, mostly thanks to playing at home. By Volt (strength from league results) Genoa rate higher: 39.9 and 44.9.
The five likeliest from the score grid.
The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.
Chance that each side scores: 52%.
Relegation risk after each result.
Lecce: 15 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count
Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.
Volt matchup
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