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Match Centre: Bologna vs Monza

Today

Serie A Matchday 10

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Home Bologna
15:00 Sat 31 Oct · your time in 20 h 44 min
Away Monza
Pre-match chances
45% Bologna 26% draw Monza 28%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Where to watch: Paramount++1 Stadium: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna Referee: Andrea Zanotti

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

Monza have scored in 11 matches in a row

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 20 goals in those matches.

What's at stake

Monza: a match about staying up

59%after a loss 44%after a win

Relegation risk: 59% after a defeat, 44% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 18 January 2025: Bologna – Monza 3:1

Bologna have won the last 3 meetings.

By the numbers

Bologna were first to score in 5 out of their 5 most recent Serie A matches.

Player in form

Gustavo Varela: 6 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals6 xG2.14

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 2.1).

By the numbers

Bologna were first to score 5 times (100.0%) in their last 5 Serie A matches (home only: 2, 40.0%).

Players to watch

Serie A, this season.

Juan Miranda

Bologna · defender

0goals 5assists 7.09avg rating

Last match, AC Milan: 1 assist, rating 6.9.

Gustavo Varela

Monza · forward

8goals 1assist 7.28avg rating

Last match, Napoli: 1 goal, rating 7.5.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

Bologna

  • Riccardo OrsoliniInjured · until 3 Nov
  • Roberto PiccoliInjured · until 16 Nov
  • Emil HolmInjured · until 25 Jan
  • Jay EnemInjured · return date unknown
  • Lorenzo De SilvestriInjured · return date unknown

Monza

  • Matteo PessinaInjured · until 1 Nov
  • Jan ZiolkowskiInjured · return date unknown
  • Yvan MayeInjured · return date unknown

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Bologna at home and Monza away, as in this match.

Bologna

at home · 10

1W4D5L1.0scored per match1.7conceded per match

Monza

away · 10

3W2D5L1.7scored per match1.9conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 3.0 · 4.2; cards 1.8 · 2.0

Head to head

7 meetings since 2022. The last 5 below.

Last time · 18 Jan 2025 · Serie A Bologna 3:1 Monza Castro 22' · Odgaard 34' · Orsolini 69' · Maldini 4'. Bologna: 3 wins in a row in this fixture.
3wins

2 draws2.2 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5

0wins
Show older (2)
  • 12 Feb 2023Serie A Bologna0:1Monza Donati 25' before our records
  • 31 Oct 2022Serie A Monza1:2Bologna Petagna 57' (k) · Ferguson 60' · Orsolini 73' before our records

Expected lineups

The data provider's expected XI.

Official around 14:00, Sat 31 Oct

BolognaMonza

When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.

Out

Bologna: Riccardo Orsolini, Roberto Piccoli, Emil Holm, Jay Enem, Lorenzo De SilvestriMonza: Matteo Pessina, Jan Ziolkowski, Yvan Maye

Coaches

Raffaele PalladinoBologna Ivan JuricMonza

Full squads (45 players)

Bologna

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Monza

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Player intelligence

Player comparison

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

45%Bologna
26%draw
28%Monza

Out of 20 matches like this, Bologna win 9, 5 end level and Monza win 6.

The forecast leans to Bologna. By Volt (strength from league results) Bologna rate higher: 53.6 and 35.2.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:112%
  2. 2:110%
  3. 1:010%
  4. 2:07%
  5. 1:27%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals76% Bologna 7 of 10 · Monza 9 of 10
  • 3+ goals53% Bologna 5 of 10 · Monza 8 of 10
  • 4+ goals30% Bologna 4 of 10 · Monza 7 of 10
  • 5+ goals16% Bologna 2 of 10 · Monza 5 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 56%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Bologna European-place chance today 10%
after a defeat
5%
after a draw
7%
after a win
12%
Monza relegation risk today 55%
after a defeat
59%
after a draw
55%
after a win
44%

Monza: 16 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

53.6 35.2
BolognaMonza
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 31 October, 15:00Your time · in 20 h 44 min
Where to watch
Paramount+, CBS Sports Network USA · change country
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna · show map
Referee
Andrea Zanotti 🇮🇹
Rest
Bologna 3 days · Monza 3 days Both last played: Serie A
Table
11. Bologna (11 pts) and 16. Monza (7 pts) Matchday 10 of 38
Weather
15°Ca few cloudswind 9 km/h
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
⌘K

Arrows move · Enter opens · Esc closes

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