GolVolt — AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Eredivisie Matchday 12

AZ Alkmaar

16:45 Sun 8 Nov · your time in 4 days 23 h

FC Groningen

Six of the Round · Eredivisie

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: ESPN++1 Stadium: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar Referee: Jannick van der Laan

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

FC Groningen have scored in 11 matches in a row

WWLLDDWWLDL

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 26 goals in those matches.

Last time

Last meeting, 22 March: FC Groningen – AZ 3:0

DLLW

Before that, FC Groningen went 3 meetings in a row without a win.

Defence

FC Groningen concede 2.2 goals per match

AZ Alkmaar1.2 FC Groningen2.2

Last 5 matches in all competitions. AZ Alkmaar concede 1.2.

What's at stake

AZ Alkmaar: a match for Europe

9%after a loss 17%after a win

Chances of Europe: 9% after a defeat, 17% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Thom van Bergen: 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG3.43

Goals in line with the quality of his chances (xG 3.4).

Attack

FC Groningen score 2.8 goals per match

AZ Alkmaar1.6 FC Groningen2.8

Last 5 matches in all competitions. AZ Alkmaar score 1.6.

Players to watch

Eredivisie, this season.

Mexx Meerdink

AZ Alkmaar · forward

4goals 2assists 7.03avg rating

Last match, Ajax: rating 7.4.

Thom van Bergen

FC Groningen · midfielder

7goals 3assists 7.34avg rating

Last match, Sparta Rotterdam: 1 goal, rating 7.3.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is AZ Alkmaar at home and FC Groningen away, as in this match.

AZ Alkmaar

at home · 10

5W4D1L2.1scored per match1.3conceded per match

FC Groningen

away · 10

4W3D3L1.9scored per match1.7conceded per match

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024.

Last time · 22 Mar 2026 · Eredivisie FC Groningen 3:0 AZ Peersman 36' (k) · van Bergen 58' · Land 76'. FC Groningen: a first win in this fixture in 3 meetings.

2wins

1 draw2.8 goals per match · both scored in 1 of 4

1wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: AZ Alkmaar (4-2-3-1, last: Ajax) · FC Groningen (4-2-3-1, last: Sparta Rotterdam).

Official around 15:45, Sun 8 Nov

JBDe Busser MWde Wit LSSchouten WGGoes EDDijkstra DKKwakman PKKoopmeiners RDDaal VAAndreasen WPPatati MMMeerdink EVVaessen HHHateboer TBBlokzijl MRRente MCCsinger TJde Jonge PCClement JSSchreuders TBvan Bergen JOOndrejka BWWillumsson

AZ AlkmaarFC Groningen

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Leeroy EchteldAZ Alkmaar Dick LukkienFC Groningen

Who wins?

The provider's forecast usually arrives a few days before kick-off.

What this match changes in the season

European-place chance after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

AZ Alkmaar today 13%

after a defeat: 9%
after a draw: 10%
after a win: 17%

AZ Alkmaar: 9 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

58.6 51.0