GolVolt — Lens vs Olympique Marseille: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Ligue 1 Matchday 10

Lens

20:45 Sun 8 Nov · your time in 8 days 4 h

Olympique Marseille

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Lens: a match for Europe

44%after a loss 62%after a win

Chances of Europe: 44% after a defeat, 62% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Florian Thauvin: 1 goal and 6 assists in 5 league matches

Goals1

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

What's at stake

Olympique Marseille: a match for Europe

38%after a loss 56%after a win

Chances of Europe: 38% after a defeat, 56% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 24 January: Olympique Marseille – Lens 3:1

WLLW

Amine Gouiri: 2 goals.

Attack

Olympique Marseille score 2.2 goals per match

Lens1.0 Olympique Marseille2.2

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Lens score 1.0.

Table

1 point apart in the table

8.Lens13 pts 9.Olympique Marseille12 pts

Lens: place 8, 13 pts · Olympique Marseille: place 9, 12 pts.

Players to watch

Ligue 1, this season.

Florian Thauvin

Lens · forward

4goals 8assists 7.93avg rating

Last match, LOSC Lille: rating 7.0.

Amine Gouiri

Olympique Marseille · forward

5goals 2assists 7.34avg rating

Last match, Le Havre: 1 assist, rating 7.0.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Lens at home and Olympique Marseille away, as in this match.

Lens

at home · 10

7W0D3L2.0scored per match1.3conceded per match

Olympique Marseille

away · 10

3W0D7L1.0scored per match1.7conceded per match

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024.

Last time · 24 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille 3:1 Lens Gouiri 3', 75' · Nwaneri 13' · Fofana 85'

2wins

0 draws3.0 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 4

2wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Lens (3-4-2-1, last: LOSC Lille) · Olympique Marseille (4-2-3-1, last: Le Havre).

Official around 19:45, Sun 8 Nov

RRRisser JTTodibo SBBaidoo RAAguilar MUUdol MCCuisance AHHaidara SAAbdulhamid FSSotoca FTThauvin THHazard JLde Lange TWWeah CREgan-Riley NAAguerd EMEmerson TNNnadi PHHøjbjerg AHHarit HAAbdelli IPPaixão AGGouiri

LensOlympique Marseille

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Who wins?

The provider's forecast usually arrives a few days before kick-off.

What this match changes in the season

European-place chance after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Lens today 54%

after a defeat: 44%
after a draw: 51%
after a win: 62%

Olympique Marseille today 45%

after a defeat: 38%
after a draw: 43%
after a win: 56%

Lens: 18 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

60.8 57.5