GolVolt — FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Bundesliga Matchday 9

FC Köln

15:30 Sun 8 Nov · your time in 5 days 15 h

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: a match for Europe

54%after a loss 70%after a win

Chances of Europe: 54% after a defeat, 70% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 25 April: FC Köln – Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:2

WWW

Patrik Schick: 2 goals. Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won the last 3 meetings.

Defence

Bayer 04 Leverkusen concede 2.0 goals per match

FC Köln0.6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen2.0

Last 5 matches in all competitions. FC Köln concede 0.6.

Player in form

Patrik Schick: 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG3.10

Goals in line with the quality of his chances (xG 3.1).

What's at stake

FC Köln: a match about staying up

32%after a loss 19%after a win

Relegation risk: 32% after a defeat, 19% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Players to watch

Bundesliga, this season.

Linton Maina

FC Köln · midfielder

1goal 2assists 6.89avg rating

Last match, FC Union Berlin: rating 6.2.

Patrik Schick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · forward

7goals 2assists 7.50avg rating

Last match, VfB Stuttgart: 1 goal, rating 7.5.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is FC Köln at home and Bayer 04 Leverkusen away, as in this match.

FC Köln

at home · 10

4W3D3L2.0scored per match1.5conceded per match

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

away · 10

6W1D3L2.2scored per match1.5conceded per match

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025.

Last time · 25 Apr 2026 · Bundesliga FC Köln 1:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Waldschmidt 77' · Schick 43' (k), 52'. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 3 wins in a row in this fixture.

0wins

0 draws3.3 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 3

3wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: FC Köln (4-4-2, last: FC Union Berlin) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (4-2-3-1, last: VfB Stuttgart).

Official around 14:30, Sun 8 Nov

MSSchwäbe BSSosa JPSimpson-Pusey JSSchmied SSSebulonsen ÍJJóhannesson TKKrauß PEOkon-Engstler LMMaina SMEl Mala MBBülter MFFlekken JQQuansah ETTapsoba FMMedina MGGutiérrez EFFernández AGGarcía LVVázquez IMMaza AMMoreira PSSchick

FC KölnBayer 04 Leverkusen

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

René WagnerFC Köln Carles Martínez NovellBayer 04 Leverkusen

Who wins?

The provider's forecast usually arrives a few days before kick-off.

What this match changes in the season Derby

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

FC Köln relegation risk today 27%

after a defeat: 32%
after a draw: 26%
after a win: 19%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen European-place chance today 63%

after a defeat: 54%
after a draw: 61%
after a win: 70%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 17 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

42.0 59.2