GolVolt — St. Pauli vs Nürnberg: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

2. Bundesliga Matchday 10

St. Pauli

13:30 Sun 1 Nov · your time in 2 days 0 h

Nürnberg

Pre-match chances

39% St. Pauli 25% draw Nürnberg 36%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Defence

Nürnberg concede 2.2 goals per match

St. Pauli0.4 Nürnberg2.2

Last 5 matches in all competitions. St. Pauli concede 0.4.

Streak

St. Pauli unbeaten in 6 matches

DWDWDD

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 2 wins and 4 draws. Last defeat: 30 August, 1:2 against Kaiserslautern.

Rest

St. Pauli: 5 more days of rest

St. Pauli9 Nürnberg4

Since their last match: St. Pauli 9 days, Nürnberg 4 days.

Last time

Last meeting, 16 March 2024: Nürnberg – St. Pauli 0:2

WDWWWW

St. Pauli have won the last 4 meetings.

What's at stake

Nürnberg: a match for the title

8%after a loss 16%after a win

Title chances: 8% after a defeat, 16% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Nürnberg without a win in 4 matches

DDLL

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 2 draws and 2 defeats. Last win: 19 September, 1:0 against Karlsruher SC.

Players to watch

2. Bundesliga, this season.

Abdoulie Ceesay

St. Pauli · forward

4goals 0assists 6.91avg rating

Last match, Darmstadt 98: rating 6.5.

Mohamed Alì Zoma

Nürnberg · midfielder

7goals 1assist 7.44avg rating

Last match, Energie Cottbus: rating 6.4.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is St. Pauli at home and Nürnberg away, as in this match.

St. Pauli

at home · 10

2W3D5L0.9scored per match1.6conceded per match

Nürnberg

away · 10

3W6D1L1.7scored per match1.7conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 5.6 · 6.4; cards 2.6 · 1.4

Head to head

22 meetings since 2008. The last 5 below.

Last time · 16 Mar 2024 · 2. Bundesliga Nürnberg 0:2 St. Pauli Eggestein 44' · Hartel 62'. St. Pauli: 4 wins in a row in this fixture.

4wins

1 draw3.2 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

0wins

16 Mar 20242. Bundesliga Nürnberg0:2St. Pauli Eggestein 44' · Hartel 62' before our records
7 Oct 20232. Bundesliga St. Pauli5:1Nürnberg Saad 4' · Eggestein 49', 56' · Amenyido 90+3' · Metcalfe 90+5' · Okunuki 24' before our records
29 Jan 20232. Bundesliga Nürnberg0:1St. Pauli Medic 33' before our records
16 Jul 20222. Bundesliga St. Pauli3:2Nürnberg Irvine 24' · Paçarada 37' (k) · Daschner 39' · Duah 46' · Valentini 90+3' before our records
29 Apr 20222. Bundesliga St. Pauli1:1Nürnberg Kyereh 74' (k) · Duman 90+2' before our records

Show older (5)

28 Nov 20212. Bundesliga Nürnberg2:3St. Pauli Geis 21' · Schäffler 72' · Burgstaller 3' · Paçarada 10' · Dzwigala 64' before our records
14 Feb 20212. Bundesliga Nürnberg1:2St. Pauli Borkowski 77' · Burgstaller 45+1' · Marmoush 65' (k) before our records
19 Oct 20202. Bundesliga St. Pauli2:2Nürnberg Zalazar 28' (k) · Buballa 78' · Schäffler 8' · Geis 49' (k) before our records
17 May 20202. Bundesliga St. Pauli1:0Nürnberg Gyökeres 84' before our records
6 Oct 20192. Bundesliga Nürnberg1:1St. Pauli Behrens 50' · Gyökeres 23' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: St. Pauli (3-4-1-2, last: Darmstadt 98) · Nürnberg (4-2-2-2, last: Bayer 04 Leverkusen).

Official around 12:30, Sun 1 Nov

BVVoll LRRitzka ESSmith DNNemeth LOOppie JFFujita MRRasmussen APPyrka CMMetcalfe ACCeesay YNNiang JRReichert ACCeresoli FOOtto AKKalogeropoulos TJJanisch AMMarkhiev JFFernández RLLubach JJJustvan SHHaugen WBBøving

St. PauliNürnberg

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Marcel RappSt. Pauli Miroslav KloseNürnberg

Full squads (60 players)

St. Pauli

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Gísli Thórdarson

Nürnberg

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Mikayil Faye

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

39%St. Pauli

25%draw

36%Nürnberg

Out of 20 matches like this, St. Pauli win 8, 5 end level and Nürnberg win 7.

The forecast sees an even match. By Volt (strength from league results) Nürnberg rate higher: 51.6 and 56.7.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:111%
1:09%
2:18%
1:28%
0:18%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals77% St. Pauli 8 of 10 · Nürnberg 8 of 10
3+ goals54% St. Pauli 3 of 10 · Nürnberg 6 of 10
4+ goals31% St. Pauli 2 of 10 · Nürnberg 5 of 10
5+ goals18% St. Pauli 0 of 10 · Nürnberg 4 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 57%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

St. Pauli relegation risk today 3%

after a defeat: 5%
after a draw: 3%
after a win: 1%

Nürnberg title chance today 11%

after a defeat: 8%
after a draw: 10%
after a win: 16%

Nürnberg: 8 percentage points of title chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

51.6 56.7