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Match Centre: Arouca vs Nacional

Today

Liga Portugal Matchday 10

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Home Arouca
16:30 Sun 1 Nov · your time in 1 day 19 h
Away Nacional

Six of the Round · Liga Portugal Golden minute

Pre-match chances
50% Arouca 25% draw Nacional 26%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca Referee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Arouca: a match for Europe

32%after a loss 49%after a win

Chances of Europe: 32% after a defeat, 49% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Defence

Nacional concede 2.4 goals per match

Arouca0.8 Nacional2.4

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Arouca concede 0.8.

Last time

Last meeting, 21 February: Arouca – Nacional 3:0

Arouca have won the last 4 meetings.

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho: 4.8 yellow cards per match

This season in this competition: 6 matches, 2 red cards, 4 penalties.

What's at stake

Nacional: a match about staying up

38%after a loss 24%after a win

Relegation risk: 38% after a defeat, 24% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Arouca have scored in 4 matches in a row

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 5 goals in those matches.

Players to watch

Liga Portugal, this season.

Naïs Djouahra

Arouca · midfielder

0goals 5assists 7.14avg rating

Last match, Alverca: rating 7.8.

Abdel Kader Njoya

Nacional · forward

2goals 0assists 7.18avg rating

Last match, Sporting Braga: rating 6.3.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

Arouca

No absences listed.

Nacional

  • Léo SantosInjured · until 6 Sep
  • UlissesInjured · return date unknown

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Arouca at home and Nacional away, as in this match.

Arouca

at home · 10

7W1D2L2.1scored per match1.0conceded per match

Nacional

away · 10

1W2D7L0.7scored per match1.7conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 3.4 · 4.2; cards 3.4 · 1.4

Head to head

12 meetings since 2013. The last 5 below.

Last time · 21 Feb 2026 · Liga Portugal Arouca 3:0 Nacional Trezza 47' · Lee 67' · Nandín 72'. Arouca: 4 wins in a row in this fixture.
4wins

1 draw2.4 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

0wins
Show older (5)
  • 21 Aug 2016Liga Portugal Arouca2:0Nacional Crivellaro 24' · Zequinha 30' before our records
  • 1 May 2016Liga Portugal Arouca3:0Nacional González 14', 63' · Mateus 38' (k) before our records
  • 2 Jan 2016Liga Portugal Nacional2:2Arouca Agra 18' (k) · Aurélio 90+2' · Zequinha 13' · Pinto 44' before our records
  • 8 Feb 2015Liga Portugal Arouca3:3Nacional Sampaio 40' · Roberto 79', 84' · Rondon 18', 25', 85' before our records
  • 31 Aug 2014Liga Portugal Nacional2:0Arouca Rondon 19' (k) · Suk 59' before our records

Expected lineups

The data provider's expected XI.

Official around 15:30, Sun 1 Nov

AroucaNacional

When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.

Out

Nacional: Léo Santos, Ulisses

Coaches

Vítor SeverinoArouca João Oliveira Nunes HenriquesNacional

Full squads (37 players)

Arouca

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Nacional

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Player intelligence

Player comparison

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

50%Arouca
25%draw
26%Nacional

Out of 20 matches like this, Arouca win 10, 5 end level and Nacional win 5.

The forecast leans to Arouca. By Volt (strength from league results) Arouca rate higher: 53.5 and 38.4.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:112%
  2. 1:010%
  3. 2:110%
  4. 2:08%
  5. 1:27%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals77% Arouca 6 of 10 · Nacional 8 of 10
  • 3+ goals53% Arouca 5 of 10 · Nacional 5 of 10
  • 4+ goals30% Arouca 3 of 10 · Nacional 5 of 10
  • 5+ goals17% Arouca 0 of 10 · Nacional 2 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 55%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Arouca European-place chance today 42%
after a defeat
32%
after a draw
37%
after a win
49%
Nacional relegation risk today 34%
after a defeat
38%
after a draw
35%
after a win
24%

Arouca: 17 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

53.5 38.4
AroucaNacional
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Sunday 1 November, 16:30Your time · in 1 day 19 h
Where to watch
No broadcast listed: USA USA · change country
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca Arouca · show map
Referee
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho 🇵🇹 4.8 yellow cards per match · This season · 6 matches
Rest
Arouca 8 days · Nacional 7 days Both last played: Liga Portugal
Table
5. Arouca (17 pts) and 15. Nacional (7 pts) Matchday 10 of 34
Weather
23°Cclear skywind 9 km/h
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Estádio Municipal de Arouca
⌘K

Arrows move · Enter opens · Esc closes

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