Ceuta: a match about staying up
82%after a loss
68%after a win
Relegation risk: 82% after a defeat, 68% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).
Match Centre: Ceuta vs Sporting Gijón
Home
Ceuta
16:15
Sun 1 Nov · your time
in 1 day 18 h
Away
Sporting Gijón
Sun 25 Oct · La Liga 2away
Cádiz3:1Ceuta
Sánchez 51'Cordero 71' (p)Vázquez 90+5'
Bodiger 45+1' (p)
Sun 18 Oct · La Liga 2at home
Ceuta1:2Real Oviedo
Camacho 83'
Rodríguez 23'Domínguez 61'
Thu 29 Oct · Copa Del Reyaway
Guijuelo1:3Sporting Gijón
Vázquez 36' (og)
Otero 61'Prendes 62'Conde 90+3'
Sun 25 Oct · La Liga 2away
Castellón4:0Sporting Gijón
Jakobsen 3', 52'Suero 26'García 87'
Sat 17 Oct · La Liga 2at home
Sporting Gijón2:1Albacete
Sarco 17'Gelabert 90+5'
Vallejo 86'
Sun 4 Oct · La Liga 2at home
Sporting Gijón3:2Celta Fortuna
Casas 33', 45+11'Rosas 60'
Marcos 8'Kibet 78'
Pre-match chances
40% Ceuta
25% draw
Sporting Gijón 34%
Pre-match result forecast (provider data).
A dot on a form pip marks another competition.
Stadium: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
What to watch for
Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.
Ceuta have scored in 8 matches in a row
LDWDLLLW
All competitions, friendlies excluded: 11 goals in those matches.
Last meeting, 3 May: Sporting Gijón – Ceuta 1:2
LW
Players to watch
La Liga 2, this season.
Antonio Casas
Sporting Gijón · forward
3goals
0assists
7.05avg rating
Last match, Celta Fortuna: 2 goals, rating 8.8.
Who is out
Injuries and suspensions
Ceuta
- Kenneth MamahInjured · until 1 Jan
Sporting Gijón
- Nikita IosifovInjured · until 16 Nov
- Konrad de la FuenteInjured · until 23 Nov
Recent matches
Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.
“This set-up” is Ceuta at home and Sporting Gijón away, as in this match.
Ceuta
all matches · 10
2W2D6L1.1scored per match1.9conceded per match
at home · 10
2W3D5L0.9scored per match1.5conceded per match
away · 10
3W2D5L1.2scored per match2.2conceded per match
- 29 Oct PoblenseACopa Del Rey 1:2W
- 25 Oct CádizALa Liga 2 3:1L
- 18 Oct Real OviedoHLa Liga 2 1:2L
- 10 Oct SabadellHLa Liga 2 1:2L
- 4 Oct CastellónALa Liga 2 1:1D
- 26 Sep Real Sociedad IIHLa Liga 2 3:1W
- 20 Sep Real ValladolidHLa Liga 2 1:1D
- 11 Sep BurgosALa Liga 2 3:1L
- 5 Sep Celta FortunaHLa Liga 2 0:2L
- 30 Aug MallorcaALa Liga 2 3:0L
- 22 Aug Las PalmasHLa Liga 2 0:2L
- 15 Aug FC AndorraALa Liga 2 5:1L
- 30 May AlbaceteHLa Liga 2 1:0W
- 24 May FC AndorraALa Liga 2 0:2W
- 16 May MálagaHLa Liga 2 1:4L
- 9 May CastellónHLa Liga 2 1:1D
- 3 May Sporting GijónALa Liga 2 1:2W
- 26 Apr Racing SantanderHLa Liga 2 0:0D
- 18 Apr Real ZaragozaALa Liga 2 2:2D
- 5 Apr SD EibarALa Liga 2 3:0L
Sun 25 Oct · La Liga 2away
Cádiz3:1Ceuta
Sánchez 51'Cordero 71' (p)Vázquez 90+5'
Bodiger 45+1' (p)
Sun 18 Oct · La Liga 2at home
Ceuta1:2Real Oviedo
Camacho 83'
Rodríguez 23'Domínguez 61'
Sat 26 Sep · La Liga 2at home
Ceuta3:1Real Sociedad II
Hernández 67', 81'Escobar 90+9'
Kita 48'
Fri 11 Sep · La Liga 2away
Burgos3:1Ceuta
Dadie 20'Karrikaburu 48'Redru 81' (og)
Hernández 14'
Sat 15 Aug · La Liga 2away
FC Andorra5:1Ceuta
Cano 33'Carrique 62'Quintana 69', 84'Calvo 90+3'
Escobar 87'
Sat 16 May · La Liga 2at home
Ceuta1:4Málaga
Galilea 52' (og)
Muñoz 4'Chupe 13', 42'Ochoa 82'
Sun 3 May · La Liga 2away
Sporting Gijón1:2Ceuta
Campos 30'
Cuenca 25' (og)de la Fuente 28'
Sat 18 Apr · La Liga 2away
Real Zaragoza2:2Ceuta
González 57'Gómez 85' (p)
de la Fuente 32'Fernández 89'
Sun 5 Apr · La Liga 2away
SD Eibar3:0Ceuta
Martón 12' (p)Hernández 52' (og)Bautista 70'
Sporting Gijón
all matches · 10
6W0D4L1.3scored per match1.4conceded per match
at home · 10
6W1D3L1.4scored per match0.9conceded per match
away · 10
6W0D4L1.6scored per match1.5conceded per match
- 29 Oct GuijueloACopa Del Rey 1:3W
- 25 Oct CastellónALa Liga 2 4:0L
- 17 Oct AlbaceteHLa Liga 2 2:1W
- 11 Oct CádizALa Liga 2 0:1W
- 4 Oct Celta FortunaHLa Liga 2 3:2W
- 27 Sep Real OviedoALa Liga 2 2:0L
- 19 Sep FC AndorraALa Liga 2 1:3W
- 13 Sep EldenseHLa Liga 2 0:1L
- 5 Sep GironaHLa Liga 2 0:2L
- 28 Aug TenerifeALa Liga 2 0:1W
- 23 Aug BurgosHLa Liga 2 1:0W
- 17 Aug SabadellHLa Liga 2 0:0D
- 30 May GranadaALa Liga 2 1:2W
- 24 May AlmeríaHLa Liga 2 3:1W
- 17 May Real ZaragozaALa Liga 2 1:3W
- 9 May MálagaALa Liga 2 2:1L
- 3 May CeutaHLa Liga 2 1:2L
- 26 Apr CórdobaALa Liga 2 3:2L
- 19 Apr CádizHLa Liga 2 3:0W
- 6 Apr Real Sociedad IIHLa Liga 2 1:0W
Thu 29 Oct · Copa Del Reyaway
Guijuelo1:3Sporting Gijón
Vázquez 36' (og)
Otero 61'Prendes 62'Conde 90+3'
Sun 25 Oct · La Liga 2away
Castellón4:0Sporting Gijón
Jakobsen 3', 52'Suero 26'García 87'
Sat 17 Oct · La Liga 2at home
Sporting Gijón2:1Albacete
Sarco 17'Gelabert 90+5'
Vallejo 86'
Sun 4 Oct · La Liga 2at home
Sporting Gijón3:2Celta Fortuna
Casas 33', 45+11'Rosas 60'
Marcos 8'Kibet 78'
Sat 19 Sep · La Liga 2away
FC Andorra1:3Sporting Gijón
Cano 48'
Duñabeitia 7'Casas 66'Iosifov 90+7'
Sat 30 May · La Liga 2away
Granada1:2Sporting Gijón
Arnáiz 2'
Hormigo 45+2' (og)Oliván 90+2'
Sun 24 May · La Liga 2at home
Sporting Gijón3:1Almería
Otero 12', 21'Vázquez 82'
de la Fuente 56'
Sun 17 May · La Liga 2away
Real Zaragoza1:3Sporting Gijón
Saidu 23'
Perrin 29'Corredera 41' (p)Coundoul 90+5'
Sun 3 May · La Liga 2at home
Sporting Gijón1:2Ceuta
Campos 30'
Cuenca 25' (og)de la Fuente 28'
Sun 26 Apr · La Liga 2away
Córdoba3:2Sporting Gijón
Medina 43'González 63'Albarrán 88'
Otero 19'Gelabert 90+3'
Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 8.0 · 5.0; cards 3.0 · 2.4
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025.
Last time · 3 May 2026 · La Liga 2
Sporting Gijón 1:2 Ceuta
Campos 30' · Cuenca 25' (s) · de la Fuente 28'
1wins
1wins
0 draws2.0 goals per match · both scored in 1 of 2
0wins
1wins
0 draws1.0 goals per match · both scored in 0 of 1
1wins
0wins
0 draws3.0 goals per match · both scored in 1 of 1
Expected lineups
The data provider's expected XI.
PLLópez
TAAbad
CHHernández
ALLapeña
CRRedru
AMMeléndez
MIIllescas
ESSevikyan
KZZalazar
CNNoubi
JEEscobar
RYYáñez
ACCuenca
JSSáenz
EGGularte
GRRosas
PGGarcía
ÀCCorredera
HGGuillamón
GCCampos
JOOtero
CGGelabert
CeutaSporting Gijón
When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.
Out
Ceuta: Kenneth MamahSporting Gijón: Nikita Iosifov, Konrad de la Fuente
Coaches
José Romero GilCeuta Nicolás LarcamónSporting Gijón
Full squads (37 players)
Ceuta
Goalkeepers
Defenders
- 3 José Matos
- 4 Albert Caparrós
- 18 Álex Petxarroman
- 34 Daniel Mas Soria Ceuta II
Midfielders
- 7 Alejandro Camacho
- 14 Yann Bodiger
- 15 Joaquín González
- 17 Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze
- 21 Kenneth Mamah
- 23 Anuar
- 24 Victor Corral
- 26 Arick Alejandro Betancourt Perez
- 28 Abraham Bueno Espinosa Ceuta II
- 31 Adrián Romero González Ceuta II
- 32 Gabriel Okoro
Forwards
Sporting Gijón
Goalkeepers
- 13 Egoitz Arana
Defenders
- 5 Diego Sánchez
- 15 Pablo Vázquez
- 24 Aimar Duñabeitia
- 26 Iker Martínez
Midfielders
- 6 Nacho Martín
- 8 Manu Rodríguez
- 11 Konrad de la Fuente
- 20 Nikita Iosifov
- 21 Mamadou Loum
- 34 Diego Matabuena
- 35 Christian Ferreres Laviada
- 36 Bruno Rubio
Forwards
- 16 Alejo Sarco
- 17 Antonio Casas
- 27 Enol Prendes
- 28 Miguel Conde
Squad
Player intelligence
Player comparison
Who wins?
The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.
40%Ceuta
25%draw
34%Sporting Gijón
Out of 20 matches like this, Ceuta win 8, 5 end level and Sporting Gijón win 7.
Ceuta have the higher chance, mostly thanks to playing at home. By Volt (strength from league results) Sporting Gijón rate higher: 40.8 and 52.7.
Likeliest scores
The five likeliest from the score grid.
- 1:112%
- 2:19%
- 1:09%
- 1:28%
- 0:17%
How many goals?
The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.
- 2+ goals78% Ceuta 10 of 10 · Sporting Gijón 7 of 10
- 3+ goals56% Ceuta 7 of 10 · Sporting Gijón 5 of 10
- 4+ goals33% Ceuta 3 of 10 · Sporting Gijón 4 of 10
- 5+ goals19% Ceuta 0 of 10 · Sporting Gijón 1 of 10
Ceuta: at least two goals in each of the last 10 matches.
Goals at both ends
Chance that each side scores: 59%.
What this match changes in the season
Relegation risk after each result.
Club
today
after a defeat
after a draw
after a win
Ceuta
today 75%
- after a defeat
- 82%
- after a draw
- 75%
- after a win
- 68%
Ceuta: 14 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count
Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.
Pro analysis
GolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.
Volt matchup
40.8
52.7
CeutaSporting Gijón
- GolVolt’s own goals model
- XI stability
- Matches with this profile
The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.
Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the dayMatch sheet
- Kick-off
- Sunday 1 November, 16:15Your time · in 1 day 18 h
- Where to watch
- No broadcast listed: USA USA · change country
- Stadium
- Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube Ceuta · show map
- Rest
- Ceuta 3 days · Sporting Gijón 3 days Both last played: Copa Del Rey
- Table
- 21. Ceuta (5 pts) and 8. Sporting Gijón (19 pts) Matchday 12 of 42
- Weather
- 20°Cscattered cloudswind 26 km/h
Other country
Broadcast listings update regularly.