GolVolt — Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Ligue 1 Matchday 10

Paris Saint Germain

20:45 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 4 days 5 h

Troyes

Pre-match chances

72% Paris Saint Germain 18% draw Troyes 10%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: beIN SPORTS CONNECT+1 Stadium: Parc des Princes, Paris

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of the last 41 matches

WLWDWWLWWDWLWWWWWWLWWWDDWWLWWDDLWWWWWWWWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 100 goals in those matches.

Streak

Paris Saint Germain unbeaten in 9 matches

WWWWWWWWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 9 wins. Last defeat: 4 September, 1:2 against Monaco.

What's at stake

Paris Saint Germain: a match for the title

61%after a loss 74%after a win

Title chances: 61% after a defeat, 74% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Attack

Paris Saint Germain score 3.6 goals per match

Paris Saint Germain3.6 Troyes0.6

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Troyes score 0.6.

Last time

Last meeting, 7 May 2023: Troyes – Paris Saint Germain 1:3

WWWDWW

Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in the last 10 meetings.

What's at stake

Troyes: a match about staying up

23%after a loss 13%after a win

Relegation risk: 23% after a defeat, 13% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Players to watch

Ligue 1, this season.

Achraf Hakimi

Paris Saint Germain · defender

3goals 2assists 7.26avg rating

Last match, Le Havre: 3 goals and 2 assists, rating 10.0.

Antoine Mille

Troyes · midfielder

1goal 1assist 6.94avg rating

Last match, Le Mans: rating 7.2.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Paris Saint Germain at home and Troyes away, as in this match.

Paris Saint Germain

at home · 10

8W1D1L2.7scored per match1.4conceded per match

Troyes

away · 10

4W2D4L1.2scored per match1.1conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.0 · 5.8; cards 0.6 · 2.6

Head to head

14 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 7 May 2023 · Ligue 1 Troyes 1:3 Paris Saint Germain Chavalerin 83' · Mbappé 8' · Vitinha 59' · Ruiz 86'. Paris Saint Germain: 2 wins in a row in this fixture.

4wins

1 draw4.0 goals per match · both scored in 4 of 5

0wins

7 May 2023Ligue 1 Troyes1:3Paris Saint Germain Chavalerin 83' · Mbappé 8' · Vitinha 59' · Ruiz 86' before our records
29 Oct 2022Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain4:3Troyes Soler 24' · Messi 55' · Neymar 62' · Mbappé 77' (k) · Baldé 3', 52' · Palaversa 88' before our records
8 May 2022Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain2:2Troyes Marquinhos 6' · Neymar 25' (k) · Ugbo 30' · Tardieu 49' (k) before our records
7 Aug 2021Ligue 1 Troyes1:2Paris Saint Germain El Hajjam 9' · Hakimi 19' · Icardi 21' before our records
3 Mar 2018Ligue 1 Troyes0:2Paris Saint Germain Di María 47' · Nkunku 77' before our records

Show older (5)

29 Nov 2017Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain2:0Troyes Neymar 73' · Cavani 90' before our records
13 Mar 2016Ligue 1 Troyes0:9Paris Saint Germain Cavani 13', 75' · Pastore 17' · Rabiot 19' · Ibrahimović 46', 52', 55', 88' · Saunier 59' (s) before our records
28 Nov 2015Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain4:1Troyes Cavani 20' · Ibrahimović 58' (k) · Kurzawa 67' · Augustin 84' · Ayasse 90+1' before our records
13 Apr 2013Ligue 1 Troyes0:1Paris Saint Germain Matuidi 65' before our records
24 Nov 2012Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain4:0Troyes Maxwell 17' · Matuidi 63' · Ibrahimović 70', 89' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Paris Saint Germain (4-3-3, last: Le Havre) · Troyes (4-3-3, last: Le Mans).

Official around 19:45, Sat 7 Nov

MSSafonov LDDigne LHHernández IZZabarnyi AHHakimi DFFernández MAAkliouche WEZaïre-Emery MGGodts SMMayulu FTTorres HKKonaté LMMaronnier AMMonfray JDDiaz PGGozzi AMMille KDDermane MDDiop MIIfnaoui RRRipart TNNkada

Paris Saint GermainTroyes

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Luis EnriqueParis Saint Germain Stéphane DumontTroyes

Full squads (55 players)

Paris Saint Germain

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Troyes

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

72%Paris Saint Germain

18%draw

10%Troyes

Out of 20 matches like this, Paris Saint Germain win 14, 4 end level and Troyes win 2.

The forecast leans to Paris Saint Germain. By Volt (strength from league results) Paris Saint Germain rate higher: 72.7 and 45.3.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:013%
2:012%
3:09%
2:19%
1:18%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals78% Paris Saint Germain 9 of 10 · Troyes 7 of 10
3+ goals57% Paris Saint Germain 8 of 10 · Troyes 3 of 10
4+ goals36% Paris Saint Germain 6 of 10 · Troyes 2 of 10
5+ goals25% Paris Saint Germain 4 of 10 · Troyes 1 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 46%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Paris Saint Germain title chance today 70%

after a defeat: 61%
after a draw: 68%
after a win: 74%

Troyes relegation risk today 21%

after a defeat: 23%
after a draw: 21%
after a win: 13%

Paris Saint Germain: 13 percentage points of title chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

72.7 45.3