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Match Centre: FC Twente vs Ajax

Today

Eredivisie Matchday 12

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Home FC Twente
14:30 Sun 8 Nov · your time in 4 days 15 h
Away Ajax

Six of the Round · Eredivisie

Pre-match chances
35% FC Twente 24% draw Ajax 41%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: ESPN++1 Stadium: De Grolsch Veste, Enschede Referee: Joey Kooij

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

FC Twente: a match for Europe

42%after a loss 63%after a win

Chances of Europe: 42% after a defeat, 63% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

FC Twente have scored in 12 matches in a row

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 34 goals in those matches.

Last time

Last meeting, 4 April: Ajax – FC Twente 1:2

Before that, FC Twente went 4 meetings in a row without a win.

What's at stake

Ajax: a match for Europe

54%after a loss 74%after a win

Chances of Europe: 54% after a defeat, 74% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Ajax have scored in 21 matches in a row

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 58 goals in those matches.

Player in form

Wout Weghorst: 5 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals5 xG2.73

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 2.7).

Players to watch

Eredivisie, this season.

Wout Weghorst

FC Twente · forward

8goals 2assists 7.54avg rating

Last match, Excelsior: 4 goals, rating 9.9.

Julian Brandt

Ajax · midfielder

6goals 2assists 7.46avg rating

Last match, AZ Alkmaar: rating 6.7.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is FC Twente at home and Ajax away, as in this match.

FC Twente

at home · 10

7W0D3L2.2scored per match0.8conceded per match

Ajax

away · 10

7W2D1L2.9scored per match1.1conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 6.2 · 4.2; cards 1.6 · 1.6

Head to head

41 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 4 Apr 2026 · Eredivisie Ajax 1:2 FC Twente Weghorst 32' · Zerrouki 18' · van Rooij 79'. FC Twente: a first win in this fixture in 4 meetings.
1wins

1 draw3.4 goals per match · both scored in 4 of 5

3wins
Show older (5)
  • 17 Sep 2023Eredivisie FC Twente3:1Ajax Rots 7' · Steijn 11' · Ünüvar 79' · Brobbey 35' before our records
  • 28 May 2023Eredivisie FC Twente3:1Ajax Ugalde 46' · Pleguezuelo 51' · Cerny 75' · Tadic 31' before our records
  • 14 Jan 2023Eredivisie Ajax0:0FC Twente before our records
  • 13 Feb 2022Eredivisie Ajax5:0FC Twente Klaassen 31' · Haller 53', 85', 88' · Pröpper 77' (s) before our records
  • 22 Aug 2021Eredivisie FC Twente1:1Ajax Pröpper 87' · Haller 52' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: FC Twente (4-2-3-1, last: Excelsior) · Ajax (4-3-3, last: AZ Alkmaar).

Official around 13:30, Sun 8 Nov

FC TwenteAjax

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

John van den BromFC Twente MíchelAjax

Full squads (67 players)

FC Twente

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Ajax

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

35%FC Twente
24%draw
41%Ajax

Out of 20 matches like this, FC Twente win 7, 5 end level and Ajax win 8.

The forecast leans to Ajax. By Volt (strength from league results) the clubs are nearly level: 65.8 and 68.1.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:110%
  2. 1:29%
  3. 2:18%
  4. 2:27%
  5. 0:16%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals85% FC Twente 8 of 10 · Ajax 9 of 10
  • 3+ goals66% FC Twente 5 of 10 · Ajax 7 of 10
  • 4+ goals43% FC Twente 4 of 10 · Ajax 5 of 10
  • 5+ goals27% FC Twente 3 of 10 · Ajax 3 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 66%.

What this match changes in the season

European-place chance after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
FC Twente today 53%
after a defeat
42%
after a draw
51%
after a win
63%
Ajax today 64%
after a defeat
54%
after a draw
64%
after a win
74%

FC Twente: 21 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

65.8 68.1
FC TwenteAjax
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Sunday 8 November, 14:30Your time · in 4 days 15 h
Where to watch
ESPN+, ESPN Unlimited (Stream) USA · change country
Stadium
De Grolsch Veste Enschede · show map
Referee
Joey Kooij 🇳🇱
Rest
FC Twente 7 days · Ajax 8 days Both last played: Eredivisie
Table
4. FC Twente (23 pts) and 2. Ajax (24 pts) Matchday 12 of 34
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · De Grolsch Veste
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