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Match Centre: Willem II vs PEC Zwolle

Today

Eredivisie Matchday 12

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Home Willem II
20:00 Fri 6 Nov · your time in 5 days 11 h
Away PEC Zwolle
Pre-match chances
42% Willem II 27% draw PEC Zwolle 31%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

Willem II without a win in 28 matches

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 6 draws and 22 defeats. Last win: 22 December, 4:1 against NEC Nijmegen.

What's at stake

PEC Zwolle: a match about staying up

31%after a loss 15%after a win

Relegation risk: 31% after a defeat, 15% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Defence

Willem II concede 4.0 goals per match

Willem II4.0 PEC Zwolle2.6

Last 5 matches in all competitions. PEC Zwolle concede 2.6.

Last time

Last meeting, 14 May 2025: Willem II – PEC Zwolle 1:2

Players to watch

Eredivisie, this season.

Uriël van Aalst

Willem II · forward

2goals 2assists 6.79avg rating

Last match, PSV: rating 6.2.

Thijs Oosting

PEC Zwolle · midfielder

2goals 2assists 6.97avg rating

Last match, FC Utrecht: 1 assist, rating 6.9.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Willem II at home and PEC Zwolle away, as in this match.

Willem II

at home · 10

0W1D9L0.9scored per match2.7conceded per match

PEC Zwolle

away · 10

1W4D5L1.1scored per match2.5conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 5.2 · 4.6; cards 2.2 · 1.4

Head to head

20 meetings since 2012. The last 5 below.

Last time · 14 May 2025 · Eredivisie Willem II 1:2 PEC Zwolle Bosch 72' · Namli 26' · Reijnders 79'
2wins

0 draws2.2 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5

3wins
Show older (5)
  • 24 Oct 2020Eredivisie PEC Zwolle0:0Willem II before our records
  • 26 Jan 2020Eredivisie Willem II0:0PEC Zwolle before our records
  • 2 Aug 2019Eredivisie PEC Zwolle1:3Willem II Thy 39' · Pavlidis 41', 72' · Leemans 47' (s) before our records
  • 14 Apr 2019Eredivisie Willem II2:0PEC Zwolle Dankerlui 38' · Isak 60' before our records
  • 9 Nov 2018Eredivisie PEC Zwolle2:3Willem II van Crooij 62' · Flemming 81' · Dankerlui 8' · Sol 16', 67' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Willem II (4-4-1-1, last: PSV) · PEC Zwolle (4-2-3-1, last: FC Utrecht).

Official around 19:00, Fri 6 Nov

Willem IIPEC Zwolle

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Jurgen StreppelWillem II Dennis van der ReePEC Zwolle

Full squads (63 players)

Willem II

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

PEC Zwolle

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

42%Willem II
27%draw
31%PEC Zwolle

Out of 20 matches like this, Willem II win 8, 6 end level and PEC Zwolle win 6.

Willem II have the higher chance, mostly thanks to playing at home. By Volt (strength from league results) PEC Zwolle rate higher: 30.8 and 41.3.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:112%
  2. 1:011%
  3. 0:19%
  4. 2:18%
  5. 0:08%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals72% Willem II 9 of 10 · PEC Zwolle 9 of 10
  • 3+ goals48% Willem II 8 of 10 · PEC Zwolle 6 of 10
  • 4+ goals27% Willem II 7 of 10 · PEC Zwolle 5 of 10
  • 5+ goals15% Willem II 5 of 10 · PEC Zwolle 2 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 52%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Willem II today 93%
after a defeat
96%
after a draw
94%
after a win
90%
PEC Zwolle today 23%
after a defeat
31%
after a draw
25%
after a win
15%

PEC Zwolle: 16 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

30.8 41.3
Willem IIPEC Zwolle
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Friday 6 November, 20:00Your time · in 5 days 11 h
Where to watch
No broadcast listed: USA USA · change country
Stadium
Koning Willem II Stadion Tilburg · show map
Rest
Willem II 6 days · PEC Zwolle 13 days Both last played: Eredivisie
Table
18. Willem II (2 pts) and 15. PEC Zwolle (8 pts) Matchday 12 of 34
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Koning Willem II Stadion
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