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Match Centre: FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München

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Bundesliga Matchday 9

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Home FSV Mainz 05
15:30 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 17 h 44 min
Pre-match chances
14% FSV Mainz 05 19% draw FC Bayern München 67%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: ESPN Select+3 Stadium: Mewa Arena, Mainz Referee: Robert Schröder

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

FC Bayern München unbeaten in 19 matches

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 12 wins and 7 draws. Last defeat: 28 April, 4:5 against Paris Saint Germain.

Player in form

Michael Olise: 5 goals and 4 assists in 5 league matches

Goals5 xG2.34

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 2.3).

What's at stake

FC Bayern München: a match for the title

65%after a loss 77%after a win

Title chances: 65% after a defeat, 77% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Defence

FSV Mainz 05 concede 2.6 goals per match

FSV Mainz 052.6 FC Bayern München1.2

Last 5 matches in all competitions. FC Bayern München concede 1.2.

Last time

Last meeting, 25 April: FSV Mainz 05 – FC Bayern München 3:4

FC Bayern München are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings.

Referee

Robert Schröder: 5.6 yellow cards per match

This season in all competitions: 5 matches, no red card, 2 penalties.

Players to watch

Bundesliga, this season.

Sheraldo Becker

FSV Mainz 05 · forward

2goals 4assists 7.40avg rating

Last match, Elversberg: rating 6.8.

Michael Olise

FC Bayern München · midfielder

6goals 4assists 8.26avg rating

Last match, Borussia Dortmund: 1 assist, rating 7.3.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

FSV Mainz 05

  • Phillipp MweneSuspended · until 8 Nov
  • Stefan PoschSuspended · until 8 Nov
  • Dominik KohrInjured · return date unknown
  • Otto RuoppiInjured · return date unknown
  • SilasInjured · return date unknown

FC Bayern München

  • Luis DíazInjured · until 30 Nov
  • Serge GnabryInjured · until 31 Dec
  • Bara Sapoko NdiayeInjured · return date unknown
  • Ismael SaibariInjured · return date unknown
  • Jamal MusialaInjured · return date unknown

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is FSV Mainz 05 at home and FC Bayern München away, as in this match.

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 5.6 · 4.8; cards 2.8 · 1.4

Head to head

41 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 25 Apr 2026 · Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3:4 FC Bayern München Kohr 15' · Nebel 29' · Becker 45+2' · Jackson 53' · Olise 73' · Musiala 80' · Kane 83'
1wins

1 draw4.2 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

3wins
Show older (5)
  • 9 Mar 2024Bundesliga FC Bayern München8:1FSV Mainz 05 Kane 13', 45+7', 70' · Goretzka 19', 90+2' · Müller 47' · Musiala 61' · Gnabry 66' · Amiri 31' not in our records
  • 21 Oct 2023Bundesliga FSV Mainz 051:3FC Bayern München Caci 43' · Coman 11' · Kane 16' · Goretzka 59' before our records
  • 22 Apr 2023Bundesliga FSV Mainz 053:1FC Bayern München Ajorque 65' · Barreiro 73' · Martín 79' · Mané 29' before our records
  • 1 Feb 2023DFB Pokal FSV Mainz 050:4FC Bayern München Choupo-Moting 17' · Musiala 30' · Sané 44' · Davies 83' before our records
  • 29 Oct 2022Bundesliga FC Bayern München6:2FSV Mainz 05 Gnabry 5' · Musiala 28' · Mané 43' · Goretzka 57' · Tel 79' · Choupo-Moting 86' · Widmer 45+4' · Ingvartsen 82' before our records

Expected lineups

The data provider's expected XI.

Official around 14:30, Sat 7 Nov

FSV Mainz 05FC Bayern München

When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.

Out

FSV Mainz 05: Phillipp Mwene, Stefan Posch, Dominik Kohr, Otto Ruoppi, SilasFC Bayern München: Luis Díaz, Serge Gnabry, Bara Sapoko Ndiaye, Ismael Saibari, Jamal Musiala

Coaches

Urs FischerFSV Mainz 05 Vincent KompanyFC Bayern München

Full squads (33 players)

FSV Mainz 05

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

FC Bayern München

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Player intelligence

Player comparison

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

14%FSV Mainz 05
19%draw
67%FC Bayern München

Out of 20 matches like this, FSV Mainz 05 win 3, 4 end level and FC Bayern München win 13.

The forecast leans to FC Bayern München. By Volt (strength from league results) FC Bayern München rate higher: 48.6 and 78.0.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 0:210%
  2. 0:110%
  3. 1:29%
  4. 1:18%
  5. 0:37%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals81% FSV Mainz 05 8 of 10 · FC Bayern München 10 of 10
  • 3+ goals62% FSV Mainz 05 7 of 10 · FC Bayern München 9 of 10
  • 4+ goals41% FSV Mainz 05 7 of 10 · FC Bayern München 8 of 10
  • 5+ goals29% FSV Mainz 05 6 of 10 · FC Bayern München 4 of 10

FC Bayern München: at least two goals in each of the last 10 matches.

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 55%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
FSV Mainz 05 European-place chance today 12%
after a defeat
10%
after a draw
13%
after a win
16%
FC Bayern München title chance today 74%
after a defeat
65%
after a draw
71%
after a win
77%

FC Bayern München: 13 percentage points of title chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

48.6 78.0
FSV Mainz 05FC Bayern München
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 7 November, 15:30Your time · in 17 h 44 min
Where to watch
ESPN Select, ESPN+, Telemundo, Fandango (Stream) USA · change country
Stadium
Mewa Arena Mainz · show map
Referee
Robert Schröder 🇩🇪 3.7 yellow cards per match · This season · 3 matches
Rest
FSV Mainz 05 8 days · FC Bayern München 4 days
Table
9. FSV Mainz 05 (10 pts) and 1. FC Bayern München (18 pts) Matchday 9 of 34
Weather
6°Covercastwind 9 km/h
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Mewa Arena
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