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Match Centre: Holstein Kiel vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld

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2. Bundesliga Matchday 11

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Home Holstein Kiel
13:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 4 days 16 h
Pre-match chances
42% Holstein Kiel 25% draw DSC Arminia Bielefeld 33%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Holstein Kiel: a match about staying up

36%after a loss 20%after a win

Relegation risk: 36% after a defeat, 20% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 23 January: DSC Arminia Bielefeld – Holstein Kiel 2:2

DSC Arminia Bielefeld are unbeaten in the last 9 meetings.

Player in form

Joel Grodowski: 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals3

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

Rest

DSC Arminia Bielefeld: 2 more days of rest

Holstein Kiel6 DSC Arminia Bielefeld8

Since their last match: Holstein Kiel 6 days, DSC Arminia Bielefeld 8 days.

Players to watch

2. Bundesliga, this season.

Phil Harres

Holstein Kiel · forward

5goals 3assists 7.19avg rating

Last match, SpVgg Greuther Fürth: rating 7.1.

Joel Grodowski

DSC Arminia Bielefeld · forward

7goals 1assist 7.10avg rating

Last match, Eintracht Braunschweig: 2 goals, rating 8.4.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Holstein Kiel at home and DSC Arminia Bielefeld away, as in this match.

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.0 · 4.0; cards 3.0 · 2.6

Head to head

10 meetings since 2017. The last 5 below.

Last time · 23 Jan 2026 · 2. Bundesliga DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2:2 Holstein Kiel Grodowski 70' (k) · Bazee 87' · Schneider 33' (s) · Nekic 45+2'
0wins

1 draw4.0 goals per match · both scored in 4 of 5

4wins
Show older (5)
  • 3 Nov 20192. Bundesliga DSC Arminia Bielefeld2:1Holstein Kiel Klos 33' (k) · Voglsammer 73' · Iyoha 68' before our records
  • 19 May 20192. Bundesliga DSC Arminia Bielefeld1:0Holstein Kiel Clauss 71' before our records
  • 14 Dec 20182. Bundesliga Holstein Kiel1:2DSC Arminia Bielefeld Serra 73' · Klos 34' · Börner 81' before our records
  • 1 Apr 20182. Bundesliga DSC Arminia Bielefeld1:1Holstein Kiel Behrendt 21' · Schindler 25' before our records
  • 21 Oct 20172. Bundesliga Holstein Kiel2:1DSC Arminia Bielefeld Ducksch 65' · Lewerenz 68' · Czichos 85' (s) before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Holstein Kiel (4-4-2, last: SpVgg Greuther Fürth) · DSC Arminia Bielefeld (5-4-1, last: Eintracht Braunschweig).

Official around 12:00, Sat 7 Nov

Holstein KielDSC Arminia Bielefeld

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Tim WalterHolstein Kiel Oliver KirchDSC Arminia Bielefeld

Full squads (62 players)

Holstein Kiel

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

DSC Arminia Bielefeld

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

42%Holstein Kiel
25%draw
33%DSC Arminia Bielefeld

Out of 20 matches like this, Holstein Kiel win 8, 5 end level and DSC Arminia Bielefeld win 7.

Holstein Kiel have the higher chance, mostly thanks to playing at home. By Volt (strength from league results) DSC Arminia Bielefeld rate higher: 44.5 and 48.9.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:112%
  2. 1:010%
  3. 2:18%
  4. 0:18%
  5. 1:27%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals76% Holstein Kiel 6 of 10 · DSC Arminia Bielefeld 8 of 10
  • 3+ goals52% Holstein Kiel 2 of 10 · DSC Arminia Bielefeld 8 of 10
  • 4+ goals30% Holstein Kiel 1 of 10 · DSC Arminia Bielefeld 5 of 10
  • 5+ goals17% Holstein Kiel 0 of 10 · DSC Arminia Bielefeld 1 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 55%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Holstein Kiel today 29%
after a defeat
36%
after a draw
31%
after a win
20%
DSC Arminia Bielefeld today 3%
after a defeat
5%
after a draw
3%
after a win
2%

Holstein Kiel: 16 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

44.5 48.9
Holstein KielDSC Arminia Bielefeld
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 7 November, 13:00Your time · in 4 days 16 h
Where to watch
No broadcast listed: USA USA · change country
Stadium
Holstein-Stadion Kiel · show map
Rest
Holstein Kiel 6 days · DSC Arminia Bielefeld 8 days Both last played: 2. Bundesliga
Table
17. Holstein Kiel (8 pts) and 7. DSC Arminia Bielefeld (14 pts) Matchday 11 of 34
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Holstein-Stadion
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