GolVolt — Alverca vs Casa Pia: preview, line-ups, chances

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Casa Pia: a match about staying up

42%after a loss 25%after a win

Relegation risk: 42% after a defeat, 25% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 12 April: Alverca – Casa Pia 3:1

Player in form

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira: 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 league matches

Goals2

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

Players to watch

Liga Portugal, this season.

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira

Alverca · forward

2goals 2assists 7.32avg rating

Last match, Arouca: rating 7.0.

Lawrence Ofori

Casa Pia · midfielder

1goal 1assist 6.76avg rating

Last match, Sporting CP: rating 6.5.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Alverca at home and Casa Pia away, as in this match.

Alverca

at home · 10

3W4D3L1.2scored per match1.3conceded per match

Casa Pia

away · 10

3W2D5L0.7scored per match1.3conceded per match

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025.

Last time · 12 Apr 2026 · Liga Portugal Alverca 3:1 Casa Pia Figueiredo 49' · Oliveira 63' · Rhaldney 83' · Marques 1'. Alverca: 2 wins in a row in this fixture.

2wins

0 draws3.0 goals per match · both scored in 1 of 2

0wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Alverca (3-4-3, last: Arouca) · Casa Pia (4-2-3-1, last: Sporting CP).

Official around 18:00, Sat 7 Nov

MMMendes SBBaseya SSSolà IJJames DSSpencer RLLucas DGGui CHChissumba FOOliveira DCCamara FIFigueiredo PSSequeira AGGeraldes KAKaly DSSousa PRRosas SPPérez LOOfori MBEl Boukammiri JRRego BPPauwels HAAraújo

AlvercaCasa Pia

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Who wins?

The provider's forecast usually arrives a few days before kick-off.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Alverca European-place chance today 6%

after a defeat: 3%
after a draw: 4%
after a win: 8%

Casa Pia relegation risk today 36%

after a defeat: 42%
after a draw: 36%
after a win: 25%

Casa Pia: 17 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

47.7 38.1