GolVolt — Ascoli vs Palermo: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Serie B Matchday 11

Ascoli

20:30 Fri 6 Nov · your time in 4 days 9 h

Palermo

Pre-match chances

38% Ascoli 29% draw Palermo 33%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Where to watch: Fox One+1 Stadium: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

Palermo unbeaten in 13 matches

WWWWWWDWWWWDW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 11 wins and 2 draws. Last defeat: 17 May, 0:3 against Catanzaro.

Streak

Palermo have scored in 13 matches in a row

WWWWWWDWWWWDW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 33 goals in those matches.

What's at stake

Palermo: a match for the title

78%after a loss 89%after a win

Title chances: 78% after a defeat, 89% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Defence

Palermo concede 1.4 goals per match

Ascoli0.4 Palermo1.4

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Ascoli concede 0.4.

Player in form

Dominic Vavassori: 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG4.14

Goals in line with the quality of his chances (xG 4.1).

Player in form

Gabriele Gori: 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 league matches

Goals2

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

Players to watch

Serie B, this season.

Andrea Silipo

Ascoli · midfielder

4goals 1assist 7.29avg rating

Last match, Arezzo: rating 6.7.

Dennis Johnsen

Palermo · midfielder

7goals 5assists 7.52avg rating

Last match, Vicenza: 1 goal, rating 7.8.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Ascoli at home and Palermo away, as in this match.

Ascoli

at home · 6

4W2D0L1.8scored per match0.7conceded per match

Palermo

away · 10

4W4D2L1.6scored per match1.5conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 6.4 · 4.0; cards 1.8 · 0.8

Head to head

12 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 5 May 2024 · Serie B Palermo 2:2 Ascoli Brunori 1' · Soleri 34' · Caligara 27', 90+3'

1wins

1 draw3.2 goals per match · both scored in 4 of 5

3wins

5 May 2024Serie B Palermo2:2Ascoli Brunori 1' · Soleri 34' · Caligara 27', 90+3' before our records
16 Sep 2023Serie B Ascoli0:1Palermo Mancuso 90+2' before our records
29 Jan 2023Serie B Ascoli1:2Palermo Forte 64' · Brunori 15', 82' before our records
27 Aug 2022Serie B Palermo2:3Ascoli Brunori 36' · Segre 63' · Gondo 27', 45+5', 52' before our records
4 May 2019Serie B Ascoli1:2Palermo Addae 63' · Moreo 60' · Haas 86' before our records

Show older (5)

27 Dec 2018Serie B Palermo3:0Ascoli Perucchini 26' (s) · Chochev 73' · Szyminski 86' before our records
27 Feb 2018Serie B Palermo4:1Ascoli Rispoli 46', 55' · Coronado 48' · Nestorovski 83' · Bianchi 42' before our records
30 Sep 2017Serie B Ascoli0:0Palermo before our records
13 May 2007Serie A Ascoli3:2Palermo Boudianski 25', 61' · Paolucci 47' · Simplício 10' · Matusiak 31' before our records
20 Dec 2006Serie A Palermo4:0Ascoli Bresciano 15' · Corini 53' · Tedesco 84' · Capuano 90+3' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Ascoli (4-2-3-1, last: Arezzo) · Palermo (4-2-3-1, last: Vicenza).

Official around 19:30, Fri 6 Nov

SVVitale AGGuiebre NRRizzo MCCurado FGGattoni GCCorradini MRRicci SDD'Uffizi GAAcampora ASSilipo MCChakir MPPerin TCCassandro PPPeda PCCeccaroni TAAugello FRRanocchia JSSegre DVVavassori HEHernani DJJohnsen JPPohjanpalo

AscoliPalermo

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Francesco TomeiAscoli Filippo InzaghiPalermo

Full squads (54 players)

Ascoli

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Matteo Raffaelli

Palermo

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

38%Ascoli

29%draw

33%Palermo

Out of 20 matches like this, Ascoli win 7, 6 end level and Palermo win 7.

The forecast sees an even match. By Volt (strength from league results) Palermo rate higher: 55.6 and 67.8.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:113%
1:011%
0:110%
0:010%
2:18%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals69% Ascoli 6 of 10 · Palermo 10 of 10
3+ goals44% Ascoli 3 of 10 · Palermo 8 of 10
4+ goals23% Ascoli 2 of 10 · Palermo 6 of 10
5+ goals12% Ascoli 1 of 10 · Palermo 4 of 10

Palermo: at least two goals in each of the last 10 matches.

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 50%.

What this match changes in the season

Title chance after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Ascoli today 5%

after a defeat: 2%
after a draw: 5%
after a win: 8%

Palermo today 84%

after a defeat: 78%
after a draw: 83%
after a win: 89%

Palermo: 11 percentage points of title chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

55.6 67.8