Tournament-wide numbers · 308 goals across 104 finished matches.
When the goals come
Most goals land between 46–60' — 51 of 308 strikes
Based on 308 goals across 104 finished matches. 77 scored on 80'+.
How the goals are scored
Open play leads the way — 279 of 308 goals
Based on 308 goals across 104 finished matches. 231 of 308 carried an assist.
Finishing — body part
153 of 308 finished by the right foot
Finish detail for 308 of 308 goals.
Goals per day
The tournament is running at 3.0 goals a match
Goal totals by tournament day · based on 308 goals across 104 finished matches.
Group heat — goals per match
Group I sets the pace — 4.5 goals a match
12 of 12 groups underway · tile intensity = goals per match.
Score first, win it?
The opener won 67 of 96 — but 16 sides threw it away
Final result for the first-scoring team in 96 matches with a goal.
Discipline
2.8 cards a match — 53 shown in stoppage time
277 yellow · 15 red across 104 finished matches. Reds include 2 second yellows.
Upset meter
Predictability index 89% — Ecuador the biggest shock at 18%
1.SHOCK: Germany falling at 59% — Ecuador took it 2-1 as a 18% shot
2.SHOCK: Türkiye falling at 55% — Australia took it 2-0 as a 23% shot
3.SHOCK: Türkiye falling at 53% — Paraguay took it 1-0 as a 23% shot
4.CHALK: France 3-0 over Iraq — the model's 73% pick duly delivered
Predictability index = favourite-win rate over 75 decided model-priced matches (67 wins); 8 upsets so far. Pre-match model probabilities cached for 104 of 104 finished matches; 90-minute draws (shootouts included) sit out.
Predictability index
This World Cup is running true to form — the chalk is holding
Favourites have won 67 of 75 decided model-priced matches. 0% = every result an upset, 100% = pure chalk.