GolVolt — Elche vs Valencia: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

La Liga Matchday 11

Elche

18:30 Sun 1 Nov · your time in 2 days 19 h

Valencia

In the Six of the Week

36% Elche 27% draw Valencia 37%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data). A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: ESPN Deportes+3 Stadium: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Valencia: a match about staying up

48%after a loss 34%after a win

Relegation risk: 48% after a defeat, 34% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 11 April: Elche – Valencia 1:0

LLDLDW

Before that, Elche went 6 meetings in a row without a win.

Defence

Valencia concede 1.4 goals per match

Elche0.4 Valencia1.4

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Elche concede 0.4.

Streak

Elche unbeaten in 5 matches

WDDWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 3 wins and 2 draws. Last defeat: 15 September, 2:3 against Real Madrid.

Player in form

Fer Niño: 4 goals in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG1.62

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 1.6).

Rest

Valencia: 3 more days of rest

Elche5 Valencia8

Since their last match: Elche 5 days, Valencia 8 days.

Players to watch

La Liga, this season.

Fer Niño

Elche · forward

6goals 0assists 7.04avg rating

Last match, Rayo Vallecano: 1 goal, rating 7.1.

Javi Guerra

Valencia · forward

0goals 2assists 6.78avg rating

Last match, Villarreal: rating 6.9.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Elche at home and Valencia away, as in this match.

Elche

at home · 10

4W3D3L1.4scored per match1.7conceded per match

Valencia

away · 10

4W2D4L1.2scored per match1.2conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 5.2 · 4.6; cards 2.6 · 3.6

Head to head

12 meetings since 2013. The last 5 below.

Last time · 11 Apr 2026 · La Liga Elche 1:0 Valencia Cepeda 73'. Elche: a first win in this fixture in 6 meetings.

1wins

2 draws2.0 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5

2wins

11 Apr 2026La Liga Elche1:0Valencia Cepeda 73' Details
10 Jan 2026La Liga Valencia1:1Elche Pepelu 87' (k) · Diangana 75' Details
23 Apr 2023La Liga Elche0:2Valencia Lino 19' · Verdú 42' (s) before our records
15 Oct 2022La Liga Valencia2:2Elche Cavani 41' (k), 45+7' · Milla 29' (k), 65' before our records
19 Mar 2022La Liga Elche0:1Valencia Guedes 50' before our records

Show older (5)

11 Dec 2021La Liga Valencia2:1Elche Guedes 23' · Piccini 86' · Boyé 75' before our records
30 Jan 2021La Liga Valencia1:0Elche Wass 22' before our records
23 Oct 2020La Liga Elche2:1Valencia Josan 19' · Fidel 37' · Lato 74' before our records
20 Mar 2015La Liga Elche0:4Valencia Gomes 44' · Alcácer 57' · Roco 71' (s) · Otamendi 90+2' before our records
25 Oct 2014La Liga Valencia3:1Elche Mustafi 13' · Parejo 18' · Lombán 63' (s) · Jonathas 90+3' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Elche (3-4-2-1, last: UD Pinatar) · Valencia (4-4-2, last: Villarreal).

Official around 17:30, Sun 1 Nov

AIIturbe PBBigas MBBarzic KLLomónaco TMMorente AHHouary MNMartim Neto JOJosan GDDiangana ABBoayar EPPonce SDDimitrievski PMMaffeo CTTárrega JHde Haas JGGayà DOOtorbi GRRodríguez PEPepelu LRRioja JGGuerra ADDanjuma

ElcheValencia

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Martin AnselmiElche Javier Aguirre OnaindíaValencia

Full squads (67 players)

Elche

Goalkeepers

1 Matías Dituro
13 Alejandro Iturbe

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Valencia

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

36%Elche

27%draw

37%Valencia

Out of 20 matches like this, Elche win 7, 6 end level and Valencia win 7.

The forecast sees an even match. By Volt (strength from league results) the clubs are nearly level: 47.8 and 44.9.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:113%
1:010%
0:110%
1:28%
0:08%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals73% Elche 8 of 10 · Valencia 5 of 10
3+ goals48% Elche 7 of 10 · Valencia 5 of 10
4+ goals26% Elche 6 of 10 · Valencia 4 of 10
5+ goals14% Elche 4 of 10 · Valencia 2 of 10

Both teams score: 54%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Elche today 12%

after a defeat: 17%
after a draw: 13%
after a win: 8%

Valencia today 42%

after a defeat: 48%
after a draw: 43%
after a win: 34%

Valencia: 15 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

47.8 44.9