GolVolt — Parma vs Bologna: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Serie A Matchday 11

Parma

18:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 4 days 2 h

Bologna

Pre-match chances

25% Parma 28% draw Bologna 47%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Where to watch: Paramount+ Stadium: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Attack

Bologna score 2.2 goals per match

Parma0.8 Bologna2.2

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Parma score 0.8.

What's at stake

Parma: a match about staying up

28%after a loss 17%after a win

Relegation risk: 28% after a defeat, 17% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 8 February: Bologna – Parma 0:1

LDWLLW

Rest

Bologna: 2 more days of rest

Parma5 Bologna7

Since their last match: Parma 5 days, Bologna 7 days.

Streak

Bologna have scored in 6 matches in a row

DWLWWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 12 goals in those matches.

Player in form

Juan Miranda: 4 assists in 5 league matches

Goals0

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

Players to watch

Serie A, this season.

Simone Lontani

Parma · forward

3goals 0assists 6.76avg rating

Last match, Atalanta: 1 goal, rating 7.3.

Juan Miranda

Bologna · midfielder

0goals 6assists 7.18avg rating

Last match, Monza: 1 assist, rating 7.9.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Parma at home and Bologna away, as in this match.

Parma

at home · 10

4W2D4L0.9scored per match1.1conceded per match

Bologna

away · 10

6W0D4L1.4scored per match1.4conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 3.6 · 3.8; cards 1.0 · 2.6

Head to head

21 meetings since 2009. The last 5 below.

Last time · 8 Feb 2026 · Serie A Bologna 0:1 Parma Ordóñez 90+4'

2wins

1 draw2.0 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5

2wins

Show older (5)

7 Feb 2021Serie A Parma0:3Bologna Barrow 15', 33' · Orsolini 90+2' before our records
28 Sep 2020Serie A Bologna4:1Parma Soriano 16', 30' · Olsen 56' · Palacio 90+1' · Hernani 67' before our records
12 Jul 2020Serie A Parma2:2Bologna Kurtic 90+3' · Inglese 90+5' · Danilo 3' · Soriano 16' before our records
24 Nov 2019Serie A Bologna2:2Parma Palacio 40' · Džemaili 90+5' · Kulusevski 17' · Iacoponi 71' before our records
13 May 2019Serie A Bologna4:1Parma Orsolini 52' · Sepe 59' (s) · Lyanco 72' · Sierralta 84' (s) · Inglese 81' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Parma (3-5-2, last: Atalanta) · Bologna (3-4-2-1, last: Monza).

Official around 17:00, Sat 7 Nov

GDDaffara DDDrobnic MTTroilo EDDelprato EVValeri MKKeita VSSierro GFFabbian SBBritschgi SLLontani ETTouré LSSkorupski MVVitík NCCasale ATTheate NZZortea LFFerguson TPPobega JMMiranda FBBernardeschi NCCambiaghi JOOdgaard

ParmaBologna

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Alberto GilardinoParma Raffaele PalladinoBologna

Full squads (64 players)

Parma

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Bologna

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

25%Parma

28%draw

47%Bologna

Out of 20 matches like this, Parma win 5, 6 end level and Bologna win 9.

The forecast leans to Bologna. By Volt (strength from league results) Bologna rate higher: 42.9 and 54.4.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

0:114%
1:112%
0:011%
0:29%
1:09%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals66% Parma 9 of 10 · Bologna 7 of 10
3+ goals40% Parma 6 of 10 · Bologna 5 of 10
4+ goals20% Parma 0 of 10 · Bologna 3 of 10
5+ goals10% Parma 0 of 10 · Bologna 1 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 43%.

What this match changes in the season Derby

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Parma relegation risk today 23%

after a defeat: 28%
after a draw: 24%
after a win: 17%

Bologna European-place chance today 11%

after a defeat: 8%
after a draw: 9%
after a win: 14%

Parma: 11 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

42.9 54.4