GolVolt — Monza vs Atalanta: preview, line-ups, chances

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

Monza have scored in 12 matches in a row

WLLWDLWLWLLL

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 21 goals in those matches.

What's at stake

Monza: a match about staying up

64%after a loss 49%after a win

Relegation risk: 64% after a defeat, 49% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Nikola Krstović: 5 goals and 2 assists in 5 league matches

Goals5 xG4.33

Goals in line with the quality of his chances (xG 4.3).

Last time

Last meeting, 4 May 2025: Monza – Atalanta 0:4

Charles De Ketelaere: 2 goals.

Streak

Atalanta without a win in 5 matches

LLDDL

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 2 draws and 3 defeats. Last win: 15 October, 3:1 against Pafos FC.

Player in form

Gustavo Varela: 5 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals5 xG2.06

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 2.1).

Players to watch

Serie A, this season.

Gustavo Varela

Monza · forward

9goals 1assist 7.22avg rating

Last match, Bologna: 1 goal, rating 6.8.

Nikola Krstović

Atalanta · forward

6goals 2assists 7.19avg rating

Last match, Parma: rating 6.5.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Monza at home and Atalanta away, as in this match.

Monza

at home · 10

6W1D3L1.9scored per match1.3conceded per match

Atalanta

away · 10

2W3D5L1.3scored per match1.8conceded per match

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024.

Last time · 4 May 2025 · Serie A Monza 0:4 Atalanta De Ketelaere 12', 23' · Lookman 47' · Brescianini 88'. Atalanta: 2 wins in a row in this fixture.

0wins

0 draws3.0 goals per match · both scored in 0 of 2

2wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Monza (3-4-2-1, last: Bologna) · Atalanta (4-2-3-1, last: Parma).

Official around 14:00, Sun 8 Nov

NTTörnqvist LLLucchesi SGGoglichidze EKKouadio RMMangas LCColombo FOOndoa SBBirindelli EZZeballos DMMota GVVarela MCCarnesecchi DZZappacosta GSScalvini ROObrić LBBernasconi ÉDÉderson MPPašalić NZZalewski CKDe Ketelaere JRRowe NKKrstović

MonzaAtalanta

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Ivan JuricMonza Maurizio SarriAtalanta

Who wins?

The provider's forecast usually arrives a few days before kick-off.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Monza relegation risk today 58%

after a defeat: 64%
after a draw: 58%
after a win: 49%

Atalanta European-place chance today 3%

after a defeat: 2%
after a draw: 2%
after a win: 4%

Monza: 15 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

34.5 52.6