GolVolt — Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

J1 League Matchday 14

Nagoya Grampus

06:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 5 days 11 h

Kyoto Sanga

Pre-match chances

46% Nagoya Grampus 26% draw Kyoto Sanga 28%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Toyota Stadium, Frisco

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Last time

Last meeting, 10 August 2025: Nagoya Grampus – Kyoto Sanga 1:2

LWDWDW

Kyoto Sanga are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings.

Player in form

Rafael Elias: 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG2.22

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 2.2).

What's at stake

Nagoya Grampus: a match about staying up

15%after a loss 6%after a win

Relegation risk: 15% after a defeat, 6% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Table

1 point apart in the table

11.Nagoya Grampus14 pts 14.Kyoto Sanga13 pts

Nagoya Grampus: place 11, 14 pts · Kyoto Sanga: place 14, 13 pts.

Streak

Nagoya Grampus have scored in 5 matches in a row

WWDDL

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 8 goals in those matches.

Players to watch

J1 League, this season.

Yudai Kimura

Nagoya Grampus · forward

2goals 1assist 6.99avg rating

Last match, Vissel Kobe: rating 7.2.

Rafael Elias

Kyoto Sanga · forward

7goals 3assists 7.42avg rating

Last match, Shimizu S-Pulse: 2 goals, rating 8.6.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Nagoya Grampus at home and Kyoto Sanga away, as in this match.

Nagoya Grampus

at home · 10

4W2D4L1.1scored per match1.5conceded per match

Kyoto Sanga

away · 10

3W4D3L1.2scored per match1.5conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.6 · 3.6; cards 1.0 · 1.6

Head to head

14 meetings since 2006. The last 5 below.

Last time · 10 Aug 2025 · J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1:2 Kyoto Sanga Junker 61' · Elias 70' · Fukuda 81'

0wins

2 draws3.0 goals per match · both scored in 5 of 5

3wins

Show older (5)

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Nagoya Grampus (3-4-2-1, last: Vissel Kobe) · Kyoto Sanga (3-4-2-1, last: Shimizu S-Pulse).

Official around 05:00, Sat 7 Nov

DSSchmidt YNNogami YSSato HFFujii KNNakayama SIInagaki TUUchida THHara YKKimura RIIzumi KNNagai HAHalls HTTawiah YSSuzuki KNNagata SYYoon SFFukuoka JPPedro HAArai ASSouza MTTúlio REElias

Nagoya GrampusKyoto Sanga

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Mihailo PetrovićNagoya Grampus Ranko PopovićKyoto Sanga

Full squads (71 players)

Nagoya Grampus

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Rekuto Shiraogawa
– Ryuki Oiso

Kyoto Sanga

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Thiago
– Sora Hiraga

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

46%Nagoya Grampus

26%draw

28%Kyoto Sanga

Out of 20 matches like this, Nagoya Grampus win 9, 5 end level and Kyoto Sanga win 6.

The forecast leans to Nagoya Grampus. By Volt (strength from league results) Kyoto Sanga rate higher: 45.9 and 53.8.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:112%
1:011%
2:110%
0:18%
2:08%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals73% Nagoya Grampus 9 of 10 · Kyoto Sanga 9 of 10
3+ goals49% Nagoya Grampus 6 of 10 · Kyoto Sanga 6 of 10
4+ goals27% Nagoya Grampus 3 of 10 · Kyoto Sanga 3 of 10
5+ goals15% Nagoya Grampus 0 of 10 · Kyoto Sanga 1 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 53%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Nagoya Grampus today 11%

after a defeat: 15%
after a draw: 13%
after a win: 6%

Kyoto Sanga today 4%

after a defeat: 7%
after a draw: 4%
after a win: 2%

Nagoya Grampus: 8 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

45.9 53.8