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Match Centre: Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy

Today

J1 League Matchday 14

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Home Shimizu S-Pulse
05:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 1 day 13 h
Away Tokyo Verdy

Six of the Round · J1 League Golden minute

Pre-match chances
34% Shimizu S-Pulse 30% draw Tokyo Verdy 36%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Iwagin Stadium, Morioka

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Tokyo Verdy: a match about staying up

46%after a loss 27%after a win

Relegation risk: 46% after a defeat, 27% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 25 October 2025: Shimizu S-Pulse – Tokyo Verdy 1:0

Shimizu S-Pulse have won the last 3 meetings.

What's at stake

Shimizu S-Pulse: a match about staying up

33%after a loss 19%after a win

Relegation risk: 33% after a defeat, 19% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Shimizu S-Pulse without a win in 4 matches

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 1 draw and 3 defeats. Last win: 11 October, 2:1 against Mito Hollyhock.

Table

3 points apart in the table

13.Shimizu S-Pulse14 pts 17.Tokyo Verdy11 pts

Shimizu S-Pulse: place 13, 14 pts · Tokyo Verdy: place 17, 11 pts.

Players to watch

J1 League, this season.

Tomoya Fujii

Shimizu S-Pulse · midfielder

1goal 3assists 6.87avg rating

Last match, Kyoto Sanga: rating 6.5.

Shuhei Mizoguchi

Tokyo Verdy · defender

1goal 4assists 7.04avg rating

Last match, V-Varen Nagasaki: 1 assist, rating 8.0.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

Shimizu S-Pulse

  • Kei IshikawaInjured · until 15 May

Tokyo Verdy

  • Koki MoritaInjured · until 19 Nov
  • Kazuya MiyaharaInjured · until 10 May
  • Hiroto YamamiInjured · return date unknown

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Shimizu S-Pulse at home and Tokyo Verdy away, as in this match.

Shimizu S-Pulse

at home · 10

3W2D5L0.9scored per match1.7conceded per match

Tokyo Verdy

away · 10

2W3D5L0.7scored per match1.6conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.4 · 3.2; cards 2.0 · 1.6

Head to head

6 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 25 Oct 2025 · J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 Tokyo Verdy Hayashi 18' (s). Shimizu S-Pulse: 3 wins in a row in this fixture.
3wins

0 draws2.2 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5

2wins
Show older (1)

Expected lineups

The data provider's expected XI.

Official around 04:00, Sat 7 Nov

Shimizu S-PulseTokyo Verdy

When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.

Out

Shimizu S-Pulse: Kei IshikawaTokyo Verdy: Koki Morita, Kazuya Miyahara, Hiroto Yamami

Coaches

Takayuki YoshidaShimizu S-Pulse Naoki SomaTokyo Verdy

Full squads (57 players)

Shimizu S-Pulse

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Tokyo Verdy

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Player intelligence

Player comparison

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

34%Shimizu S-Pulse
30%draw
36%Tokyo Verdy

Out of 20 matches like this, Shimizu S-Pulse win 7, 6 end level and Tokyo Verdy win 7.

The forecast sees an even match. By Volt (strength from league results) the clubs are nearly level: 42.0 and 42.7.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:114%
  2. 0:112%
  3. 1:012%
  4. 0:012%
  5. 1:28%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals64% Shimizu S-Pulse 8 of 10 · Tokyo Verdy 9 of 10
  • 3+ goals38% Shimizu S-Pulse 6 of 10 · Tokyo Verdy 5 of 10
  • 4+ goals18% Shimizu S-Pulse 4 of 10 · Tokyo Verdy 4 of 10
  • 5+ goals8% Shimizu S-Pulse 1 of 10 · Tokyo Verdy 0 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 45%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Shimizu S-Pulse today 26%
after a defeat
33%
after a draw
26%
after a win
19%
Tokyo Verdy today 38%
after a defeat
46%
after a draw
38%
after a win
27%

Tokyo Verdy: 19 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

42.0 42.7
Shimizu S-PulseTokyo Verdy
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

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Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 7 November, 05:00Your time · in 1 day 13 h
Where to watch
No broadcast listed: USA USA
Stadium
Iwagin Stadium Morioka · show map
Rest
Shimizu S-Pulse 7 days · Tokyo Verdy 6 days Both last played: J1 League
Table
13. Shimizu S-Pulse (14 pts) and 17. Tokyo Verdy (11 pts) Matchday 14 of 38
Weather
2°Csnowwind 30 km/h
Venue map · Iwagin Stadium
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