GolVolt — Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

J1 League Matchday 14

Machida Zelvia

06:00 Sun 8 Nov · your time in 4 days 11 h

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Six of the Round · J1 League

Pre-match chances

31% Machida Zelvia 25% draw Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Machida Athletic Stadium, Tokyo

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: a match for the title

17%after a loss 32%after a win

Title chances: 17% after a defeat, 32% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Akito Suzuki: 4 goals and 2 assists in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG1.80

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 1.8).

Last time

Last meeting, 4 October 2025: Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Machida Zelvia 2:1

WWWW

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won the last 4 meetings.

Streak

Machida Zelvia unbeaten in 5 matches

WWWDD

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 3 wins and 2 draws. Last defeat: 20 September, 2:4 against Kashiwa Reysol.

What's at stake

Machida Zelvia: a match for the title

12%after a loss 25%after a win

Title chances: 12% after a defeat, 25% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Table

1 point apart in the table

3.Machida Zelvia28 pts 2.Sanfrecce Hiroshima29 pts

Machida Zelvia: place 3, 28 pts · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: place 2, 29 pts.

Players to watch

J1 League, this season.

Yuki Soma

Machida Zelvia · forward

3goals 4assists 7.33avg rating

Last match, Gamba Osaka: rating 7.1.

Akito Suzuki

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · forward

10goals 4assists 7.56avg rating

Last match, Mito Hollyhock: 1 goal, rating 7.3.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Machida Zelvia at home and Sanfrecce Hiroshima away, as in this match.

Machida Zelvia

at home · 10

5W3D2L1.5scored per match0.9conceded per match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

away · 10

6W1D3L1.6scored per match1.3conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 5.4 · 7.4; cards 1.2 · 0.8

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024.

Last time · 4 Oct 2025 · J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:1 Machida Zelvia Kim 88' · Arslan 90+5' (k) · Soma 50'. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 4 wins in a row in this fixture.

0wins

0 draws2.8 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 4

4wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Machida Zelvia (3-4-2-1, last: Gamba Osaka) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3-4-2-1, last: Mito Hollyhock).

Official around 05:00, Sun 8 Nov

KTTani GSShoji MKKim TOOuwejan HMMochizuki HMMae NLLavi TAAkimoto TNNishimura YSSoma KOOgawa KOOsako JKKim HAAraki SNNakano SHHigashi YNNakajima HKKawabe NAArai ASSuzuki SKKobayashi SAAyukawa

Machida ZelviaSanfrecce Hiroshima

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Go KurodaMachida Zelvia Bartosch GaulSanfrecce Hiroshima

Full squads (63 players)

Machida Zelvia

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Chui Hiromu Mayaka Shibuya City
– Nicholas Guimarães

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Leedo Morii
– Hikaru Ogawa

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

31%Machida Zelvia

25%draw

44%Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Out of 20 matches like this, Machida Zelvia win 6, 5 end level and Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 9.

The forecast leans to Sanfrecce Hiroshima. By Volt (strength from league results) the clubs are nearly level: 65.0 and 67.4.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:112%
0:19%
1:29%
2:18%
1:07%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals77% Machida Zelvia 7 of 10 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 of 10
3+ goals54% Machida Zelvia 5 of 10 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 of 10
4+ goals31% Machida Zelvia 3 of 10 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 of 10
5+ goals18% Machida Zelvia 2 of 10 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 56%.

What this match changes in the season

Title chance after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Machida Zelvia today 18%

after a defeat: 12%
after a draw: 16%
after a win: 25%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima today 24%

after a defeat: 17%
after a draw: 22%
after a win: 32%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 15 percentage points of title chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

65.0 67.4