GolVolt — Osasuna vs Athletic Club: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

La Liga Matchday 12

Osasuna

18:30 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 4 days 6 h

Athletic Club

Six of the Round · La Liga

Pre-match chances

32% Osasuna 27% draw Athletic Club 41%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: ESPN Deportes+4 Stadium: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Osasuna: a match about staying up

45%after a loss 30%after a win

Relegation risk: 45% after a defeat, 30% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Álex Berenguer: 3 goals and 3 assists in 5 league matches

Goals3

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

Last time

Last meeting, 21 April: Athletic Club – Osasuna 1:0

DWLDDW

Before that, Athletic Club went 3 meetings in a row without a win.

What's at stake

Athletic Club: a match for Europe

19%after a loss 34%after a win

Chances of Europe: 19% after a defeat, 34% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Ante Budimir: 4 goals in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG2.47

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 2.5).

Streak

Athletic Club have scored in 4 matches in a row

LWWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 13 goals in those matches.

Players to watch

La Liga, this season.

Ante Budimir

Osasuna · forward

8goals 0assists 7.38avg rating

Last match, Deportivo A Coruña: 1 goal, rating 8.0.

Álex Berenguer

Athletic Club · midfielder

4goals 4assists 7.25avg rating

Last match, Real Sociedad: 1 goal, rating 6.1.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Osasuna at home and Athletic Club away, as in this match.

Osasuna

at home · 10

3W3D4L1.0scored per match1.1conceded per match

Athletic Club

away · 10

3W1D6L1.7scored per match1.9conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.8 · 5.8; cards 2.8 · 2.0

Head to head

39 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 21 Apr 2026 · La Liga Athletic Club 1:0 Osasuna Guruzeta 16'. Athletic Club: a first win in this fixture in 3 meetings.

1wins

2 draws2.2 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

2wins

Show older (5)

11 May 2024La Liga Athletic Club2:2Osasuna Williams 58' · Villalibre 90+6' · García 40', 47' before our records
19 Aug 2023La Liga Osasuna0:2Athletic Club Williams 11' · Guruzeta 20' before our records
25 May 2023La Liga Osasuna2:0Athletic Club Budimir 50' · Torró 77' before our records
4 Apr 2023Copa Del Rey Athletic Club1:1Osasuna Williams 33' · Ibáñez 116' before our records
1 Mar 2023Copa Del Rey Osasuna1:0Athletic Club Ezzalzouli 47' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Osasuna (4-3-3, last: Deportivo A Coruña) · Athletic Club (4-4-2, last: Real Sociedad).

Official around 17:30, Sat 7 Nov

SHHerrera ABBretones EBBoyomo ACCatena VRRosier MGGómez IMMuñoz JMMoncayola RMMoro ABBudimir JDDubasin USSimón HRRincón DVVivian ALLaporte YBBerchiche ÁBBerenguer PUUrtasun BGGerenabarrena NWWilliams MSSannadi IWWilliams

OsasunaAthletic Club

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

ArrasateOsasuna Edin TerzicAthletic Club

Full squads (58 players)

Osasuna

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Athletic Club

Goalkeepers

1 Unai Simón
13 Álex Padilla

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

32%Osasuna

27%draw

41%Athletic Club

Out of 20 matches like this, Osasuna win 7, 5 end level and Athletic Club win 8.

The forecast leans to Athletic Club. By Volt (strength from league results) Athletic Club rate higher: 41.8 and 50.5.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:112%
0:110%
1:29%
1:08%
2:18%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals74% Osasuna 9 of 10 · Athletic Club 8 of 10
3+ goals49% Osasuna 5 of 10 · Athletic Club 5 of 10
4+ goals27% Osasuna 4 of 10 · Athletic Club 3 of 10
5+ goals15% Osasuna 3 of 10 · Athletic Club 1 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 53%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Osasuna relegation risk today 39%

after a defeat: 45%
after a draw: 41%
after a win: 30%

Athletic Club European-place chance today 26%

after a defeat: 19%
after a draw: 24%
after a win: 34%

Osasuna: 15 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

41.8 50.5