GolVolt — Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

2. Bundesliga Matchday 11

Hertha BSC

20:30 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 3 days 5 h

VfL Wolfsburg

Six of the Round · 2. Bundesliga Golden minute

Pre-match chances

45% Hertha BSC 24% draw VfL Wolfsburg 31%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

Hertha BSC unbeaten in 12 matches

WWWWWWWWDWWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 11 wins and 1 draw. Last defeat: 17 May, 1:6 against DSC Arminia Bielefeld.

What's at stake

Hertha BSC: a match for the title

65%after a loss 82%after a win

Title chances: 65% after a defeat, 82% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Fabian Reese: 2 goals and 5 assists in 5 league matches

Goals2

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

Defence

VfL Wolfsburg concede 1.8 goals per match

Hertha BSC0.2 VfL Wolfsburg1.8

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Hertha BSC concede 0.2.

Last time

Last meeting, 27 May 2023: VfL Wolfsburg – Hertha BSC 1:2

DLLDLW

Before that, Hertha BSC went 5 meetings in a row without a win.

What's at stake

VfL Wolfsburg: a match for the title

4%after a loss 13%after a win

Title chances: 4% after a defeat, 13% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Players to watch

2. Bundesliga, this season.

Josip Brekalo

Hertha BSC · midfielder

5goals 5assists 7.56avg rating

Last match, Kaiserslautern: rating 6.9.

Fabian Reese

VfL Wolfsburg · midfielder

5goals 7assists 7.98avg rating

Last match, Osnabrück: 1 goal and 1 assist, rating 9.0.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Hertha BSC at home and VfL Wolfsburg away, as in this match.

Hertha BSC

at home · 10

6W1D3L1.6scored per match1.1conceded per match

VfL Wolfsburg

away · 10

5W3D2L2.2scored per match1.7conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 6.4 · 6.2; cards 1.4 · 2.6

Head to head

32 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 27 May 2023 · Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Hertha BSC Kamiński 2' · Maza 55' · Richter 68'. Hertha BSC: a first win in this fixture in 5 meetings.

1wins

1 draw2.6 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5

3wins

27 May 2023Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg1:2Hertha BSC Kamiński 2' · Maza 55' · Richter 68' before our records
24 Jan 2023Bundesliga Hertha BSC0:5VfL Wolfsburg Svanberg 4' · Arnold 31' (k) · Wind 34' · Baku 72' · Marmoush 86' before our records
15 Jan 2022Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg0:0Hertha BSC before our records
21 Aug 2021Bundesliga Hertha BSC1:2VfL Wolfsburg Lukébakio 60' (k) · Baku 73' · Nmecha 88' before our records
27 Feb 2021Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg2:0Hertha BSC Klünter 37' (s) · Lacroix 89' before our records

Show older (5)

1 Nov 2020Bundesliga Hertha BSC1:1VfL Wolfsburg Cunha 6' · Baku 20' before our records
25 Jan 2020Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg1:2Hertha BSC Mehmedi 68' · Torunarigha 74' · Lukébakio 90' before our records
25 Aug 2019Bundesliga Hertha BSC0:3VfL Wolfsburg Weghorst 9' (k) · Brekalo 82' · Roussillon 90+1' before our records
2 Feb 2019Bundesliga Hertha BSC0:1VfL Wolfsburg Weghorst 65' before our records
15 Sep 2018Bundesliga VfL Wolfsburg2:2Hertha BSC Mallı 87' (k) · Mehmedi 90+3' · Dilrosun 61' · Duda 90+1' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Hertha BSC (4-2-3-1, last: Kaiserslautern) · VfL Wolfsburg (4-2-3-1, last: Osnabrück).

Official around 19:30, Sat 7 Nov

MGGersbeck MPPedersen NKKolbe LGGechter JEEitschberger KSSessa PSSeguin JBBrekalo JTThorsteinsson OAAdewumi SGGrönning TWWellenreuther SNNseke HWWahl CLCleiton JMMaehle MAArnold VCCosta ABBernhardsson MDDamar FRReese RGGlatzel

Hertha BSCVfL Wolfsburg

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Stefan LeitlHertha BSC Tobias StroblVfL Wolfsburg

Full squads (59 players)

Hertha BSC

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Niklas Hildebrandt
– Kian Todorovic

VfL Wolfsburg

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

45%Hertha BSC

24%draw

31%VfL Wolfsburg

Out of 20 matches like this, Hertha BSC win 9, 5 end level and VfL Wolfsburg win 6.

Hertha BSC have the higher chance, mostly thanks to playing at home. By Volt (strength from league results) Hertha BSC rate higher: 63.0 and 56.8.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:110%
2:19%
1:07%
1:27%
2:27%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals82% Hertha BSC 8 of 10 · VfL Wolfsburg 9 of 10
3+ goals62% Hertha BSC 6 of 10 · VfL Wolfsburg 7 of 10
4+ goals40% Hertha BSC 2 of 10 · VfL Wolfsburg 7 of 10
5+ goals25% Hertha BSC 1 of 10 · VfL Wolfsburg 5 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 62%.

What this match changes in the season

Title chance after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Hertha BSC today 75%

after a defeat: 65%
after a draw: 73%
after a win: 82%

VfL Wolfsburg today 7%

after a defeat: 4%
after a draw: 7%
after a win: 13%

Hertha BSC: 17 percentage points of title chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

63.0 56.8