GolVolt — Cesena vs Catanzaro: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Serie B Matchday 11

Cesena

15:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 3 days 15 h

Catanzaro

Six of the Round · Serie B

Pre-match chances

49% Cesena 29% draw Catanzaro 22%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Catanzaro: a match about staying up

50%after a loss 32%after a win

Relegation risk: 50% after a defeat, 32% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 21 March: Cesena – Catanzaro 3:1

WWLLLW

Before that, Cesena went 3 meetings in a row without a win.

Streak

Catanzaro without a win in 6 matches

LLDLDD

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 3 draws and 3 defeats. Last win: 12 September, 1:0 against Carrarese.

Streak

Catanzaro have scored in 7 matches in a row

WLLDLDD

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 8 goals in those matches.

Defence

Catanzaro concede 2.6 goals per match

Cesena1.6 Catanzaro2.6

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Cesena concede 1.6.

What's at stake

Cesena: a match about staying up

24%after a loss 12%after a win

Relegation risk: 24% after a defeat, 12% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Players to watch

Serie B, this season.

Cristian Shpendi

Cesena · forward

8goals 1assist 7.14avg rating

Last match, Südtirol: 1 goal, rating 7.4.

Pietro Iemmello

Catanzaro · forward

2goals 0assists 6.95avg rating

Last match, Calcio Padova: rating 7.5.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Cesena at home and Catanzaro away, as in this match.

Cesena

at home · 10

2W7D1L1.6scored per match1.4conceded per match

Catanzaro

away · 10

1W3D6L1.2scored per match1.8conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.8 · 5.2; cards 2.4 · 1.8

Head to head

7 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 21 Mar 2026 · Serie B Cesena 3:1 Catanzaro Cerri 59' · Piacentini 72' · Berti 90+4' · Liberali 34'. Cesena: a first win in this fixture in 3 meetings.

2wins

0 draws3.0 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5

3wins

Show older (2)

12 May 2006Serie B Cesena4:1Catanzaro before our records
9 Dec 2005Serie B Catanzaro2:4Cesena before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Cesena (4-3-3, last: Südtirol) · Catanzaro (3-5-2, last: Calcio Padova).

Official around 14:00, Sat 7 Nov

ASSiano GFFrabotta MMMangraviti MIIlić ACCiofi MGGuidi RPPagano EBBohinen AFFiori CSShpendi XDDruiventak MPPigliacelli RFFrosinini MAAntonini MIImperiale ACCandela FTTchaouna JPPetriccione GAAlesi MDDorval NKKoffi PIIemmello

CesenaCatanzaro

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Alessandro DiamantiCesena Giorgio GorgoneCatanzaro

Full squads (62 players)

Cesena

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Catanzaro

Goalkeepers

1 Christian Marietta
22 Mirko Pigliacelli

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Solomon Loubao

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

49%Cesena

29%draw

22%Catanzaro

Out of 20 matches like this, Cesena win 10, 6 end level and Catanzaro win 4.

The forecast leans to Cesena. By Volt (strength from league results) the clubs are nearly level: 44.5 and 47.2.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:014%
1:112%
0:011%
2:19%
2:09%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals67% Cesena 10 of 10 · Catanzaro 9 of 10
3+ goals43% Cesena 4 of 10 · Catanzaro 6 of 10
4+ goals23% Cesena 1 of 10 · Catanzaro 4 of 10
5+ goals13% Cesena 0 of 10 · Catanzaro 2 of 10

Cesena: at least two goals in each of the last 10 matches.

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 47%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Cesena today 19%

after a defeat: 24%
after a draw: 21%
after a win: 12%

Catanzaro today 42%

after a defeat: 50%
after a draw: 43%
after a win: 32%

Catanzaro: 18 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

44.5 47.2