GolVolt — JEF United vs Mito Hollyhock: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

J1 League Matchday 14

JEF United

09:00 Sun 8 Nov · your time in 5 days 15 h

Mito Hollyhock

Pre-match chances

40% JEF United 27% draw Mito Hollyhock 33%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Mito Hollyhock: a match about staying up

57%after a loss 37%after a win

Relegation risk: 57% after a defeat, 37% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Mito Hollyhock without a win in 8 matches

DLLLLLLL

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 1 draw and 7 defeats. Last win: 2 September, 4:2 against Kashima Antlers.

Defence

Mito Hollyhock concede 2.8 goals per match

JEF United1.2 Mito Hollyhock2.8

Last 5 matches in all competitions. JEF United concede 1.2.

Attack

JEF United score 1.6 goals per match

JEF United1.6 Mito Hollyhock0.2

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Mito Hollyhock score 0.2.

What's at stake

JEF United: a match about staying up

48%after a loss 30%after a win

Relegation risk: 48% after a defeat, 30% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Table

1 point apart in the table

18.JEF United10 pts 19.Mito Hollyhock9 pts

JEF United: place 18, 10 pts · Mito Hollyhock: place 19, 9 pts.

Players to watch

J1 League, this season.

Erison

JEF United · forward

2goals 2assists 6.84avg rating

Last match, Avispa Fukuoka: rating 6.4.

Arata Watanabe

Mito Hollyhock · forward

5goals 0assists 7.15avg rating

Last match, Yokohama F. Marinos: rating 6.4.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is JEF United at home and Mito Hollyhock away, as in this match.

JEF United

at home · 10

3W3D4L1.1scored per match1.4conceded per match

Mito Hollyhock

away · 6

1W1D4L0.8scored per match2.3conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 5.2 · 2.8; cards 3.0 · 1.2

Head to head

First competitive meeting.

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: JEF United (4-4-2, last: Avispa Fukuoka) · Mito Hollyhock (4-4-1-1, last: Sanfrecce Hiroshima).

Official around 08:00, Sun 8 Nov

JSSuárez TMMae DSSuzuki BNNduka MHHidaka KTTanaka EDEduardo TYYasui MHHimeno ERErison KYYamura JSSlowik TMMase YKKimoto KIItakura YTTamura JOOkumura TSSemba KOOsaki MNNishihara KTTaniguchi PAPatryck

JEF UnitedMito Hollyhock

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Yuki KobayashiJEF United Naoki MoriMito Hollyhock

Full squads (74 players)

JEF United

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Mito Hollyhock

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Hiroshi Iwasaki

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

40%JEF United

27%draw

33%Mito Hollyhock

Out of 20 matches like this, JEF United win 8, 5 end level and Mito Hollyhock win 7.

JEF United have the higher chance, mostly thanks to playing at home. By Volt (strength from league results) the clubs are nearly level: 44.4 and 43.0.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:113%
1:010%
0:19%
2:19%
1:28%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals74% JEF United 9 of 10 · Mito Hollyhock 8 of 10
3+ goals49% JEF United 6 of 10 · Mito Hollyhock 4 of 10
4+ goals27% JEF United 3 of 10 · Mito Hollyhock 2 of 10
5+ goals15% JEF United 2 of 10 · Mito Hollyhock 2 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 54%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

JEF United today 39%

after a defeat: 48%
after a draw: 41%
after a win: 30%

Mito Hollyhock today 49%

after a defeat: 57%
after a draw: 49%
after a win: 37%

Mito Hollyhock: 20 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

44.4 43.0