GolVolt — Manchester United vs Aston Villa: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Premier League Matchday 10

Manchester United

17:30 Sun 8 Nov · your time in 7 days 16 h

Aston Villa

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: Old Trafford, Manchester

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Streak

Manchester United without a win in 9 matches

LLDDLDLLL

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 3 draws and 6 defeats. Last win: 10 September, 4:0 against Sabah.

What's at stake

Aston Villa: a match for Europe

18%after a loss 33%after a win

Chances of Europe: 18% after a defeat, 33% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Defence

Manchester United concede 2.4 goals per match

Manchester United2.4 Aston Villa1.2

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Aston Villa concede 1.2.

Player in form

Nicolas Jackson: 5 goals in 5 league matches

Goals5 xG1.92

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 1.9).

Last time

Last meeting, 15 March: Manchester United – Aston Villa 3:1

DWLW

Attack

Aston Villa score 1.4 goals per match

Manchester United0.4 Aston Villa1.4

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Manchester United score 0.4.

Players to watch

Premier League, this season.

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United · midfielder

3goals 1assist 7.35avg rating

Last match, Chelsea: rating 6.9.

Nicolas Jackson

Aston Villa · forward

5goals 0assists 7.23avg rating

Last match, Fulham: 1 goal, rating 7.6.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Manchester United at home and Aston Villa away, as in this match.

Manchester United

at home · 10

5W1D4L2.1scored per match1.7conceded per match

Aston Villa

away · 10

6W1D3L1.6scored per match1.5conceded per match

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024.

Last time · 15 Mar 2026 · Premier League Manchester United 3:1 Aston Villa Casimiro 53' · Cunha 71' · Sesko 81' · Barkley 64'

2wins

1 draw2.2 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 4

1wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Manchester United (4-2-3-1, last: Chelsea) · Aston Villa (4-2-3-1, last: Fulham).

Official around 16:30, Sun 8 Nov

SLLammens DDDalot LMMartínez HMMaguire LYYoro ASSantos CBBaleba MCCunha BFFernandes ADDiallo BMMbeumo ZSSuzuki MCCash VLLindelöf PTTorres IMMaatsen BKKamara LGGoretzka ALAlysson JMMcGinn JMManzambi NJJackson

Manchester UnitedAston Villa

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Who wins?

The provider's forecast usually arrives a few days before kick-off.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Manchester United relegation risk today 11%

after a defeat: 14%
after a draw: 12%
after a win: 7%

Aston Villa European-place chance today 25%

after a defeat: 18%
after a draw: 23%
after a win: 33%

Aston Villa: 15 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

53.9 56.4