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Match Centre: Valencia vs Real Madrid

Today

La Liga Matchday 12

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Home Valencia
21:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 4 days 22 h
Away Real Madrid
Pre-match chances
14% Valencia 21% draw Real Madrid 65%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: ESPN Deportes+4 Stadium: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Attack

Real Madrid score 3.4 goals per match

Valencia1.2 Real Madrid3.4

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Valencia score 1.2.

What's at stake

Valencia: a match about staying up

33%after a loss 20%after a win

Relegation risk: 33% after a defeat, 20% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Real Madrid unbeaten in 6 matches

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 6 wins. Last defeat: 20 September, 1:2 against Atlético de Madrid.

Last time

Last meeting, 8 February: Valencia – Real Madrid 0:2

Streak

Real Madrid have scored in 10 matches in a row

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 28 goals in those matches.

What's at stake

Real Madrid: a match for the title

15%after a loss 27%after a win

Title chances: 15% after a defeat, 27% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Players to watch

La Liga, this season.

Javi Guerra

Valencia · forward

0goals 2assists 6.79avg rating

Last match, Elche: rating 6.9.

Kylian Mbappé 

Real Madrid · forward

12goals 3assists 7.93avg rating

Last match, Racing Santander: 1 goal, rating 8.6.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Valencia at home and Real Madrid away, as in this match.

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.0 · 5.8; cards 3.2 · 1.4

Head to head

44 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 8 Feb 2026 · La Liga Valencia 0:2 Real Madrid Carreras 65' · Mbappé 90+1'. Real Madrid: 2 wins in a row in this fixture.
1wins

1 draw3.2 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

3wins
Show older (5)
  • 11 Nov 2023La Liga Real Madrid5:1Valencia Carvajal 3' · Vinicius Jr. 42', 49' · Rodrygo 50', 84' · Duro 88' before our records
  • 21 May 2023La Liga Valencia1:0Real Madrid López 33' before our records
  • 2 Feb 2023La Liga Real Madrid2:0Valencia Asensio 52' · Vinicius Jr. 54' before our records
  • 8 Jan 2022La Liga Real Madrid4:1Valencia Benzema 43' (k), 88' · Vinicius Jr. 52', 61' · Guedes 76' before our records
  • 19 Sep 2021La Liga Valencia1:2Real Madrid Duro 66' · Vinicius Jr. 86' · Benzema 88' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Valencia (4-4-2, last: Elche) · Real Madrid (4-2-3-1, last: Racing Santander).

Official around 20:00, Sat 7 Nov

ValenciaReal Madrid

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Javier Aguirre OnaindíaValencia José MourinhoReal Madrid

Full squads (68 players)

Valencia

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Real Madrid

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

14%Valencia
21%draw
65%Real Madrid

Out of 20 matches like this, Valencia win 3, 4 end level and Real Madrid win 13.

The forecast leans to Real Madrid. By Volt (strength from league results) Real Madrid rate higher: 46.6 and 74.0.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 0:212%
  2. 0:111%
  3. 1:29%
  4. 1:19%
  5. 0:38%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals78% Valencia 5 of 10 · Real Madrid 9 of 10
  • 3+ goals56% Valencia 5 of 10 · Real Madrid 9 of 10
  • 4+ goals34% Valencia 4 of 10 · Real Madrid 5 of 10
  • 5+ goals23% Valencia 2 of 10 · Real Madrid 5 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 49%.

What this match changes in the season Derby

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Valencia relegation risk today 29%
after a defeat
33%
after a draw
28%
after a win
20%
Real Madrid title chance today 23%
after a defeat
15%
after a draw
20%
after a win
27%

Valencia: 13 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

46.6 74.0
ValenciaReal Madrid
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 7 November, 21:00Your time · in 4 days 22 h
Where to watch
ESPN Deportes, ESPN Select, ESPN+, Fubo.tv, ESPN Unlimited (Stream) USA · change country
Stadium
Estadio de Mestalla Valencia · show map
Rest
Valencia 6 days · Real Madrid 6 days Both last played: La Liga
Table
19. Valencia (9 pts) and 3. Real Madrid (27 pts) Matchday 12 of 38
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Estadio de Mestalla
⌘K

Arrows move · Enter opens · Esc closes

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