GolVolt — Valencia vs Real Madrid: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

La Liga Matchday 12

Valencia

21:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 5 days 20 h

Real Madrid

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Attack

Real Madrid score 3.4 goals per match

Valencia1.2 Real Madrid3.4

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Valencia score 1.2.

What's at stake

Valencia: a match about staying up

46%after a loss 31%after a win

Relegation risk: 46% after a defeat, 31% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Real Madrid unbeaten in 6 matches

WWWWWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 6 wins. Last defeat: 20 September, 1:2 against Atlético de Madrid.

Last time

Last meeting, 8 February: Valencia – Real Madrid 0:2

WLWW

Streak

Real Madrid have scored in 10 matches in a row

WWWLWWWWWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 28 goals in those matches.

Player in form

Kylian Mbappé: 5 goals in 5 league matches

Goals5 xG4.05

Goals in line with the quality of his chances (xG 4.1).

Players to watch

La Liga, this season.

Javi Guerra

Valencia · forward

0goals 2assists 6.79avg rating

Last match, Elche: rating 6.9.

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid · forward

12goals 3assists 7.93avg rating

Last match, Racing Santander: 1 goal, rating 8.6.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Valencia at home and Real Madrid away, as in this match.

Valencia

at home · 10

2W3D5L0.9scored per match1.6conceded per match

Real Madrid

away · 10

7W0D3L1.8scored per match1.2conceded per match

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025.

Last time · 8 Feb 2026 · La Liga Valencia 0:2 Real Madrid Carreras 65' · Mbappé 90+1'. Real Madrid: 2 wins in a row in this fixture.

1wins

0 draws3.0 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 4

3wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Valencia (4-4-2, last: Elche) · Real Madrid (4-2-3-1, last: Racing Santander).

Official around 20:00, Sat 7 Nov

SDDimitrievski JGGayà PEPepelu CTTárrega AMMartínez LRRioja ACde la Cueva GRRodríguez PMMaffeo ADDanjuma JGGuerra TCCourtois MCCucurella DHHuijsen IKKonaté TAAlexander-Arnold ATTchouaméni BSSilva YDDiomande JBBellingham AGGüler KMMbappé

ValenciaReal Madrid

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Javier Aguirre OnaindíaValencia José MourinhoReal Madrid

Who wins?

The provider's forecast usually arrives a few days before kick-off.

What this match changes in the season Derby

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Valencia relegation risk today 42%

after a defeat: 46%
after a draw: 42%
after a win: 31%

Real Madrid title chance today 13%

after a defeat: 10%
after a draw: 11%
after a win: 16%

Valencia: 15 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

46.6 74.0