GolVolt — Burgos vs Celta Fortuna: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

La Liga 2 Matchday 13

Burgos

14:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 5 days 15 h

Celta Fortuna

Pre-match chances

52% Burgos 26% draw Celta Fortuna 22%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Defence

Celta Fortuna concede 2.4 goals per match

Burgos1.2 Celta Fortuna2.4

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Burgos concede 1.2.

Player in form

Álvaro Marín: 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals4

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

What's at stake

Celta Fortuna: a match about staying up

22%after a loss 12%after a win

Relegation risk: 22% after a defeat, 12% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Streak

Burgos unbeaten in 4 matches

WWWD

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 3 wins and 1 draw. Last defeat: 12 October, 0:1 against Granada.

Streak

Celta Fortuna have scored in 6 matches in a row

DLWDLD

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 11 goals in those matches.

Players to watch

La Liga 2, this season.

Javi Llabrés

Burgos · forward

1goal 5assists 7.05avg rating

Last match, Castellón: 1 assist, rating 7.2.

Álvaro Marín

Celta Fortuna · forward

7goals 1assist 7.09avg rating

Last match, Córdoba: 1 goal, rating 7.2.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Burgos at home and Celta Fortuna away, as in this match.

Burgos

at home · 10

5W4D1L1.3scored per match0.8conceded per match

Celta Fortuna

away · 5

1W1D3L1.0scored per match2.0conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 5.6 · 3.4; cards 2.8 · 3.2

Head to head

First competitive meeting.

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Burgos (5-3-2, last: Castellón) · Celta Fortuna (3-4-3, last: Córdoba).

Official around 13:00, Sat 7 Nov

ACCantero ADDadie ÁLLizancos OLLuengo GSSierra BMMartínez CSSánchez UVVencedor PGGaldames ÁFForés JLLlabrés CCCarrillo KRRibes SNNdiaye JLLópez PGGavián ACCapdevila MSSabajanes ÁAArcos AKKibet ÁMMarín ÓMMarcos

BurgosCelta Fortuna

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Sergio FranciscoBurgos Alfredo Álvarez ParedesCelta Fortuna

Full squads (61 players)

Burgos

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Celta Fortuna

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

52%Burgos

26%draw

22%Celta Fortuna

Out of 20 matches like this, Burgos win 11, 5 end level and Celta Fortuna win 4.

The forecast leans to Burgos. By Volt (strength from league results) Burgos rate higher: 60.0 and 47.0.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:013%
1:112%
2:110%
2:010%
0:08%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals71% Burgos 6 of 10 · Celta Fortuna 10 of 10
3+ goals46% Burgos 5 of 10 · Celta Fortuna 6 of 10
4+ goals24% Burgos 3 of 10 · Celta Fortuna 5 of 10
5+ goals13% Burgos 2 of 10 · Celta Fortuna 3 of 10

Celta Fortuna: at least two goals in each of the last 10 matches.

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 49%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Burgos title chance today 5%

after a defeat: 3%
after a draw: 4%
after a win: 5%

Celta Fortuna relegation risk today 19%

after a defeat: 22%
after a draw: 20%
after a win: 12%

Celta Fortuna: 10 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

60.0 47.0